NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	116		Excitement	3.2 [929]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +11.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	96		Comeback	1.5 [411]		LVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): -9.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.00	0.03	10	90%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	8	78%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.07	1	0.00	7	100%	0.00
Willie Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	6	86%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	17	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.00	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ivan Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.02	0.06	10	65%	0.03	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Higgins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	15	63%	0.07	4	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	3	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	53%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	19	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	7	33%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	9	38%	-0.03	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	0.2	25.7	15.4	26.2	1.0	32.7	123.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +39.7%

ATL +1.9%

ATL +7.0%

ATL +1.4%

ATL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	13.9	17.0	15.6	124.7	103.2	102.8
season	15.7	16.3		102.5	94.1
opponent	15.0	15.9		108.9	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.5	14.4	12.4	14.6	13.9
CHA	19.8	19.2	16.4	13.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	75	72	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.25	29	-9	38	13.6	15.4	-1.87	17.5	15.3	2.26
Jannero Pargo	50	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	2	16	14.2	13.6	0.66	16.5	17.6	-1.06
Willie Green	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	5	10	14.2	13.6	0.63	15.9	18.4	-2.47
Marvin Williams	52	51	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.05	13	7	6	14.3	13.4	0.93	17.2	16.8	0.36
Ivan Johnson	60	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	9	2	14.3	13.3	0.93	16.5	18.0	-1.43
Kirk Hinrich	31	31	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	14	-8	13.0	14.4	-1.35	18.0	16.5	1.45
Joe Johnson	41	41	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	15	-10	13.6	14.2	-0.63	18.4	15.9	2.47
Josh Smith	43	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	18	-16	13.6	14.2	-0.66	17.6	16.5	1.06
Jeff Teague	43	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	18	-16	13.6	14.2	-0.66	17.6	16.5	1.06
Jerry Stackhouse	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	19	-18	14.6	13.9	0.74	13.5	17.5	-3.95
Jason Collins	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	16.7	13.7	3.08	13.6	17.4	-3.85

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	42	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-11	2	20.1	14.5	5.67	12.8	14.9	-2.04
Byron Mullens	62	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-11	2	17.4	16.3	1.16	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Gerald Henderson	45	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-14	8	19.2	15.0	4.11	12.7	15.1	-2.37
Derrick Brown	40	40	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-11	2	19.9	14.9	4.99	13.0	14.6	-1.60
DJ White	37	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-11	2	17.6	16.7	0.93	14.1	13.9	0.20
Tyrus Thomas	41	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-10	0	14.7	18.9	-4.16	15.1	13.1	2.04
Corey Maggette	53	53	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-9	-2	14.9	19.9	-4.99	14.6	13.0	1.60
Matt Carroll	48	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-6	-8	15.0	19.2	-4.11	15.1	12.7	2.37
Cory Higgins	51	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-9	-2	14.5	20.1	-5.67	14.9	12.8	2.04
Bismack Biyombo	46	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	-8	-4	18.1	16.0	2.17	13.2	14.6	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 107, ATL 73	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
DET 115, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
UTA 132, NOP 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%