NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	132		Excitement	3.6 [1100]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): +13.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	111		Comeback	1.4 [769]		LVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): -5.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.21	0.01	0.08	13	81%	0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Ricky Rubio	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.19	-0.00	0.08	14	76%	0.15	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.02
Donovan Mitchell	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.17	0.00	0.08	10	85%	0.10	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Georges Niang	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	1	125%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	48%	0.01	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Grayson Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	4	70%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.02	-0.04	10	29%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.02	0.05	18	66%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	13	60%	0.07	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	29%	-0.00	2	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	9	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.07	9	52%	-0.03	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	8	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.6	27.4	14.6	33.3	2.5	33.7	140.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +35.1%

UTA +3.9%

UTA +3.6%

UTA +5.0%

UTA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOP	NBA	UTA	NOP	NBA
this game	13.0	13.4	14.3	121.1	101.8	109.3
season	14.3	13.4		109.3	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.3		111.5	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.7	12.3	14.2	12.0	13.0
NOP	13.5	13.4	13.0	13.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	66	65	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.32	26	-5	31	13.3	12.7	0.62	13.6	13.1	0.55
Rudy Gobert	80	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.24	23	-2	25	12.9	13.2	-0.29	13.3	13.7	-0.36
Donovan Mitchell	74	72	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.33	25	-4	29	13.3	12.5	0.76	13.4	13.3	0.11
Joe Ingles	62	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.21	19	2	17	13.5	12.5	0.98	14.0	12.6	1.33
Jae Crowder	65	64	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.20	15	6	9	12.7	13.5	-0.79	13.4	13.4	0.07
Georges Niang	27	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	15	-9	12.3	13.3	-0.97	13.3	13.4	-0.13
Royce O'Neale	37	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	21	-21	13.4	12.9	0.49	12.2	14.1	-1.93
Derrick Favors	39	40	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	19	-17	14.1	12.4	1.67	13.9	13.1	0.88
Alec Burks	34	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	22	-23	12.4	13.3	-0.94	13.4	13.4	0.01
Dante Exum	42	43	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.15	-3	24	-27	12.5	13.4	-0.94	12.9	13.7	-0.81
Ekpe Udoh	15	14	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	23	-25	11.7	13.2	-1.58	12.5	13.5	-1.03
Grayson Allen	13	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	26	-31	10.9	13.3	-2.39	13.8	13.3	0.51

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenrich Williams	30	30	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.36	14	-35	49	13.3	13.4	-0.08	13.0	13.0	-0.04
Cheick Diallo	25	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-21	21	14.1	13.2	0.94	11.7	13.4	-1.75
Tim Frazier	31	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-24	27	13.7	13.3	0.40	11.7	13.6	-1.81
Wesley Johnson	35	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-16	11	14.7	12.8	1.86	12.8	13.1	-0.30
Ian Clark	28	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.23	-11	-10	-1	14.3	13.1	1.20	13.6	12.8	0.73
Jahlil Okafor	34	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-14	7	13.1	13.5	-0.40	11.8	13.6	-1.73
Solomon Hill	47	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-20	19	12.9	13.8	-0.92	12.8	13.2	-0.46
Frank Jackson	53	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-20	19	13.3	13.5	-0.25	12.5	13.5	-1.01
Julius Randle	40	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	-4	-13	13.6	13.3	0.36	14.4	12.1	2.28
E'Twaun Moore	56	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-3	-15	12.9	13.9	-0.96	13.7	12.4	1.30
Nikola Mirotic	64	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.14	-18	-3	-15	12.9	14.1	-1.26	13.9	11.8	2.05
Elfrid Payton	37	37	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.08	-16	-5	-11	13.1	13.5	-0.39	13.0	13.1	-0.08
Jrue Holiday	65	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.38	-28	7	-35	13.5	13.2	0.24	13.0	13.0	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, POR 78	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
WAS 120, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
DAL 116, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%