NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	116		Excitement	3.0 [1137]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (DAL): +11.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	99		Comeback	1.6 [501]		LVP	Desmond Mason (SEA): -6.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	12	81%	0.11	2	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.16	-0.00	0.10	17	76%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	10	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	7	29%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	12	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	10	45%	-0.00	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	87%	0.02	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	6	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Jerome James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	12	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Gary Payton	0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	19	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	12	42%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	52.4	1.6	30.1	15.7	21.8	1.8	26.0	149.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +52.4%

SEA -2.8%

SEA -3.0%

DAL +2.3%

DAL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	NBA	DAL	SEA	NBA
this game	14.6	16.7	15.6	126.1	107.6	102.3
season	14.8	16.0		109.6	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		103.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	11.5	14.8	15.7	16.8	14.6
SEA	17.8	17.2	17.0	14.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	58	58	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	8	1	15.4	13.3	2.18	16.6	16.8	-0.25
Eduardo Najera	84	83	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	4	9	14.8	13.1	1.66	16.4	19.2	-2.84
Nick Van Exel	50	49	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	12	-7	15.8	13.2	2.58	16.1	17.3	-1.24
Michael Finley	67	68	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.25	20	-3	23	14.0	16.4	-2.47	17.3	14.8	2.48
Adrian Griffin	50	51	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.29	18	-1	19	13.6	15.9	-2.24	17.3	15.8	1.50
Raef LaFrentz	51	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.14	11	6	5	12.8	16.9	-4.12	17.2	16.0	1.22
Wang Zhi-zhi	26	26	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.28	-5	22	-27	16.5	13.9	2.59	13.5	17.9	-4.36
Steve Nash	42	43	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.28	12	5	7	13.2	15.8	-2.58	17.3	16.1	1.24

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olumide Oyedeji	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-27	37	13.6	17.3	-3.75	17.1	14.1	2.93
Shammond Williams	29	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.44	15	-32	47	14.2	17.8	-3.59	17.7	13.2	4.45
Earl Watson	24	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-19	21	15.6	17.0	-1.46	16.7	13.9	2.85
Predrag Drobnjak	39	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.22	-13	-4	-9	17.9	15.8	2.10	16.5	13.3	3.16
Jerome James	29	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-10	3	16.7	16.6	0.09	11.4	16.0	-4.63
Vin Baker	18	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-12	7	19.0	16.1	2.91	17.1	14.0	3.07
Ansu Sesay	51	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-17	17	16.0	17.5	-1.49	16.1	12.8	3.27
Brent Barry	63	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.23	-19	2	-21	17.5	14.8	2.68	13.5	17.1	-3.60
Vladimir Radmanovic	61	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-7	-3	16.3	17.4	-1.14	13.4	17.2	-3.80
Desmond Mason	62	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.35	-26	9	-35	16.9	16.1	0.79	13.6	16.8	-3.20
Gary Payton	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.42	-32	15	-47	17.3	14.8	2.48	13.6	17.5	-3.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 132, NOP 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DAL 98, MIN 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
TOR 125, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%