inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 120 Excitement3.2 [1110] MVPJuwan Howard (WAS): +7.5%
Denver Nuggets 96 Comeback1.5 [759] LVPBryant Stith (DEN): -13.8%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juwan Howard0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.120.000.051574%0.102-0.029100%0.03
Harvey Grant0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.150.000.081085%0.0700.0000%0.00
Chris Whitney0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.010.01867%0.071-0.022100%0.01
Lorenzo Williams0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tracy Murray0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.021554%0.0100.007100%0.01
God Shammgod0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Ben Wallace0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darvin Ham-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%0.0000.00475%-0.00
Terry Davis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02117%-0.0300.00425%-0.03
Rod Strickland-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.051054%0.035-0.074100%0.01
Chris Webber-0.040,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.021343%0.002-0.0420%-0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.080,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.031225%-0.071-0.0100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Washington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01650%0.0300.0000%0.00
Johnny Newman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05425%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Anthony Goldwire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.02-0.04729%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Danny Fortson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.021654%0.012-0.02967%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03837%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Joe Wolf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01240%-0.0200.0010%-0.00
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.08-0.01-0.071550%0.015-0.042100%0.01
Priest Lauderdale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.02350%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Dean Garrett0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.021032%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.02-0.051651%-0.002-0.051963%-0.01
Bryant Stith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.16-0.01-0.0376%-0.092-0.05250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.326.915.027.71.827.8128.7
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +29.4%
WAS +8.0%
WAS +3.9%
WAS +3.7%
WAS +5.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDENNBAWASDENNBA
this game14.613.915.6120.094.1102.5
season15.116.2102.896.7
opponent15.215.6109.5102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS17.213.713.414.214.6
DEN11.615.713.714.613.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Webber60620.480.020.47-0.041861213.915.7-1.7615.411.63.75
Juwan Howard71720.410.090.31-0.302402414.614.60.0513.315.3-1.98
Calbert Cheaney53550.370.130.24-0.191951415.214.01.1714.413.31.04
Chris Whitney42450.290.210.07-0.041113-214.514.7-0.2914.213.70.53
Tracy Murray58570.270.230.030.03816-814.115.4-1.3513.314.6-1.33
Terry Davis38410.230.27-0.04-0.24168814.814.50.2313.913.9-0.04
Rod Strickland59580.220.28-0.06-0.22159614.914.20.6813.314.7-1.41
Harvey Grant54550.190.31-0.11-0.101014-415.313.81.4715.012.62.38
Lorenzo Williams13130.030.47-0.45-0.03222-2016.814.32.4710.814.4-3.59
Darvin Ham33330.010.49-0.47-0.04222-2014.114.9-0.7413.314.2-0.93
God Shammgod660.000.50-0.500.09-327-3011.814.8-2.9613.713.9-0.25
Ben Wallace13130.000.50-0.500.06-226-2814.514.6-0.0912.614.1-1.47

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Battie4445-0.08-0.420.340.39-16-8-814.913.21.6915.014.30.65
Priest Lauderdale1817-0.09-0.410.310.02-4-201614.513.80.7316.714.22.51
Eric Washington3433-0.16-0.340.190.11-9-15613.913.9-0.0314.114.9-0.79
Joe Wolf2322-0.17-0.330.15-0.09-3-211813.913.9-0.0413.015.1-2.08
Danny Fortson5151-0.20-0.300.09-0.03-6-181213.714.1-0.3514.614.60.02
Anthony Goldwire3433-0.22-0.280.050.13-12-12014.113.80.2814.514.7-0.25
Eric Williams7372-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.09-6-181213.714.4-0.7215.113.41.65
Johnny Newman3332-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-11-13214.113.80.2814.714.60.19
Bobby Jackson7371-0.28-0.22-0.070.19-16-8-813.614.6-0.9114.714.50.14
Dean Garrett6462-0.35-0.15-0.210.12-16-8-813.514.5-1.0014.714.50.19
Bryant Stith6362-0.39-0.11-0.280.23-21-3-1813.913.80.0914.015.6-1.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 88, DET 760.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.2%
UTA 132, NOP 1110.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%
TOR 120, MIN 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%