NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	88		Excitement	3.3 [1136]		MVP	Tony Allen (BOS): +8.8%
Detroit Pistons	76		Comeback	1.6 [501]		LVP	Allen Iverson (DET): -16.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.00	0.06	16	66%	0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Leon Powe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Eddie House	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	5	76%	0.04	3	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Glen Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Henry Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.04	9	68%	0.05	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Paul Pierce	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	10	33%	0.01	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.18	-0.02	-0.04	15	27%	-0.07	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.00	0.06	16	66%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	79%	-0.00	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	-0.04	8	15%	-0.10	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	17	29%	-0.12	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	5	14%	-0.10	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	11	38%	-0.07	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	1.5	35.5	16.8	28.0	1.8	30.0	144.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +41.3%

BOS +10.7%

BOS +8.7%

DET -7.7%

DET -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	15.5	92.6	83.5	106.4
season	15.8	16.9		108.3	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		106.2	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.6	11.8	17.0	16.8	15.5
DET	14.7	17.7	16.4	13.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	74	72	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.08	21	-9	30	15.3	16.2	-0.95	16.6	11.2	5.39
Tony Allen	59	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.12	10	2	8	13.7	18.4	-4.75	15.1	16.1	-1.04
Eddie House	31	29	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	2	8	15.6	15.4	0.22	15.6	15.4	0.22
Kevin Garnett	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	4	4	15.5	15.6	-0.11	15.4	15.6	-0.12
Kendrick Perkins	54	54	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.05	12	0	12	15.3	15.7	-0.42	15.7	15.2	0.48
Glen Davis	40	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	10	-8	16.0	15.1	0.92	15.4	15.5	-0.14
Leon Powe	30	27	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	8	-4	15.6	15.5	0.11	15.6	15.4	0.12
Rajon Rondo	65	63	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	12	-12	15.2	16.0	-0.79	15.3	15.9	-0.61
Paul Pierce	53	50	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	15	-18	17.9	12.5	5.45	14.7	16.4	-1.71
Henry Walker	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	14.0	15.6	-1.56	10.5	15.7	-5.20

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Bynum	23	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.24	8	-20	28	13.0	16.3	-3.31	16.3	15.2	1.17
Amir Johnson	40	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.27	9	-21	30	14.6	16.2	-1.56	18.3	13.3	5.05
Arron Afflalo	23	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.25	8	-20	28	13.0	16.3	-3.31	16.8	15.0	1.83
Walter Herrmann	9	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-7	2	15.9	15.4	0.46	11.4	15.9	-4.50
Allen Iverson	59	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-11	10	15.5	15.4	0.15	15.9	14.8	1.05
Kwame Brown	22	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-2	-8	16.5	15.2	1.30	15.0	15.6	-0.60
Rasheed Wallace	75	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-12	12	14.7	18.9	-4.20	16.0	13.2	2.75
Tayshaun Prince	79	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-7	2	15.6	14.8	0.74	15.5	15.3	0.19
Richard Hamilton	67	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	5	-22	16.3	13.2	3.13	15.4	15.7	-0.27
Rodney Stuckey	24	24	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.16	-21	9	-30	17.0	14.9	2.02	12.7	16.4	-3.67
Jason Maxiell	34	36	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.27	-26	14	-40	17.7	14.1	3.61	12.1	17.6	-5.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 120, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
MIA 107, ATL 73	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
ATL 98, BKN 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%