NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	89		Excitement	8.7 [130]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +23.7%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	3.0 [601]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -42.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cartier Martin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	7	62%	0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Nene	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	12	53%	0.10	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Jan Vesely	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	6	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jordan Crawford	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21	-0.05	-0.17	-0.01	20	48%	0.02	5	-0.23	2	50%	-0.05
John Wall	-0.42	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.42	-0.07	-0.34	0.01	9	50%	-0.10	5	-0.32	8	62%	-0.07

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.24	0.24	0.19	0.06	0.01	15	69%	0.24	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	7	74%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	9	43%	0.13	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	12	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	7	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	44%	0.04	1	-0.06	8	50%	-0.04
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	6	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.16,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	10	32%	-0.05	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	29.0	15.8	31.4	2.6	39.5	148.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +5.0%

IND +23.0%

WAS -15.9%

IND +39.7%

WAS -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	16.5	15.6	98.9	102.2	102.8
season	15.0	15.7		99.5	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		101.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.4	15.1	13.0	15.8	15.3
IND	16.9	14.9	19.7	14.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-4	4	5.0	15.4	-10.44	1.0	16.7	-15.67
Trevor Booker	55	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-8	12	14.8	16.2	-1.44	16.4	16.7	-0.36
Cartier Martin	36	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	1	-6	16.5	14.5	2.01	16.9	16.2	0.64
Nene	63	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-8	12	15.0	16.1	-1.18	16.1	17.4	-1.30
Shelvin Mack	25	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	2	-8	16.7	14.8	1.94	17.4	16.2	1.25
Roger Mason Jr.	33	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	1	-6	15.9	15.0	0.88	15.9	16.8	-0.91
Chris Singleton	50	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-5	6	14.9	15.8	-0.86	17.4	15.4	2.00
Kevin Seraphin	38	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	0	-4	16.7	14.3	2.45	16.9	16.2	0.78
John Wall	65	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-6	8	14.8	16.7	-1.94	16.2	17.4	-1.25
Jordan Crawford	61	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-5	6	14.6	16.8	-2.17	15.9	18.0	-2.09
Jan Vesely	23	22	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	8	-20	15.7	15.2	0.56	17.9	16.1	1.81

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	63	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	-2	8	15.9	17.9	-1.97	15.2	15.6	-0.47
Paul George	55	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	0	4	15.8	17.6	-1.80	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Darren Collison	70	66	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	2	0	15.7	19.3	-3.63	15.1	16.0	-0.92
Roy Hibbert	53	50	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.35	-3	7	-10	15.4	18.1	-2.68	14.5	16.3	-1.80
Danny Granger	66	63	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	7	-10	16.2	17.2	-0.92	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Dahntay Jones	25	27	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-3	10	17.2	16.2	0.92	16.2	15.0	1.23
George Hill	37	38	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	0	4	17.1	16.1	1.08	15.4	15.2	0.22
Tyler Hansbrough	45	46	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	3	-2	17.1	15.9	1.22	15.6	15.0	0.63
Lou Amundson	23	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	2	0	18.2	15.9	2.25	16.3	14.9	1.38
Leandro Barbosa	21	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	2	0	19.3	15.7	3.63	16.0	15.1	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 97, DEN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.41,0.71,0.67,0.56,0.78,0.76,0.85,1	92.1%
OKC 85, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.92,1	91.8%
WAS 88, UTA 95	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.9,0.84,1	91.5%