NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	8.3 [223]		MVP	Shelvin Mack (UTA): +23.2%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	2.6 [543]		LVP	Markieff Morris (WAS): -20.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.15	0.08	0.04	-0.03	20	61%	0.44	4	-0.29	4	100%	0.03
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	0.00	7	62%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	7	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Otto Porter Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	46%	0.04	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.02	-0.01	22	33%	-0.10	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Markieff Morris	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.09	0.00	13	27%	-0.16	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.17	0.01	9	62%	0.27	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.02	0.17	-0.01	16	50%	0.21	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.03
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.01	6	83%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.01	9	57%	0.09	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.06
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	56%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	7	61%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.06	0.01	8	69%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.09	0.00	8	24%	-0.13	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.0	27.4	15.4	30.8	1.8	40.5	139.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.7%

WAS -13.8%

WAS -13.3%

UTA +27.6%

UTA +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	16.5	14.8	97.8	104.4	107.7
season	14.4	16.1		109.9	108.0
opponent	15.0	14.9		105.0	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.4	15.1	15.2	13.9	15.3
UTA	17.7	17.6	16.9	14.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	8	8	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.05	8	-15	23	11.5	15.7	-4.18	18.7	16.3	2.46
Brandon Jennings	27	26	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.08	3	-10	13	14.6	15.6	-0.97	17.0	16.3	0.69
Ian Mahinmi	32	33	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-6	5	15.2	15.4	-0.19	16.2	16.7	-0.41
Kelly Oubre Jr.	44	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-9	11	14.7	15.9	-1.28	16.1	16.9	-0.76
Marcin Gortat	50	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.17	2	-9	11	15.3	15.3	0.02	17.4	15.4	1.99
Bojan Bogdanovic	37	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-3	-1	15.4	15.2	0.16	16.0	16.8	-0.81
Bradley Beal	73	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-1	-5	15.6	13.9	1.76	16.4	17.1	-0.68
Markieff Morris	64	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.23	-9	2	-11	16.3	13.0	3.30	16.6	16.2	0.42
Otto Porter Jr.	45	47	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	4	-15	14.9	15.7	-0.84	16.1	16.9	-0.83
John Wall	70	72	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.40	-19	12	-31	15.5	14.7	0.72	16.3	17.2	-0.82

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	73	72	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.26	18	-11	29	16.4	16.9	-0.48	15.9	13.1	2.82
Rudy Gobert	72	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-3	13	16.3	17.3	-0.96	15.6	14.1	1.60
Shelvin Mack	47	47	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	2	3	16.1	16.9	-0.74	16.1	14.4	1.71
Boris Diaw	36	38	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-5	17	16.7	16.4	0.31	15.9	14.9	1.06
Joe Ingles	60	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	10	-13	16.2	17.1	-0.90	15.4	15.2	0.14
Joe Johnson	55	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.35	-5	12	-17	16.4	16.7	-0.31	14.9	15.9	-1.06
Dante Exum	47	47	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	1	5	17.2	15.8	1.37	15.1	15.6	-0.47
Jeff Withey	19	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	10	-13	17.3	16.3	0.96	14.1	15.6	-1.60
Rodney Hood	46	46	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.10	-5	12	-17	16.7	16.3	0.47	13.8	16.9	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 71, PHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,1	92.5%
CHI 93, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.23,0.25,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.92,1	91.8%
ATL 91, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.92,1	91.7%