NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	91		Excitement	7.3 [367]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +34.0%
New Jersey Nets	99		Comeback	2.0 [780]		LVP	Nenad Krstic (NJN): -15.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.02	-0.00	16	72%	0.26	4	-0.17	4	75%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	3	87%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	3	70%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Childress	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
John Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	15	50%	0.09	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Salim Stoudamire	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	8	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.00	-0.15	-0.01	16	59%	0.06	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.26	0.11	0.03	22	74%	0.41	1	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.15	0.01	7	78%	0.31	2	-0.04	13	85%	-0.03
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.12	0.00	5	80%	0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.04	0.00	14	68%	0.12	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	4	20%	-0.03	3	-0.13	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	29.6	14.7	27.8	1.8	31.1	130.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +58.1%

ATL -4.3%

ATL -15.4%

NJN +16.1%

ATL -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	18.0	16.0	15.6	107.1	117.9	104.4
season	15.6	15.7		103.9	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.9	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.5	17.9	17.0	18.9	18.0
NJN	15.0	18.1	15.0	16.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	20	19	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.05	7	-15	22	17.7	18.1	-0.42	17.6	15.6	1.98
Zaza Pachulia	34	32	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-12	16	18.1	17.9	0.21	15.9	16.2	-0.28
Marvin Williams	15	16	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-11	14	18.3	18.0	0.38	16.9	15.8	1.10
John Thomas	33	33	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-10	12	17.6	18.3	-0.68	16.2	16.0	0.17
Salim Stoudamire	12	13	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.10	-13	5	-18	18.3	18.0	0.36	15.8	16.1	-0.24
Joe Johnson	67	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	17.7	19.2	-1.52	15.8	17.0	-1.21
Josh Smith	73	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	-1	-6	18.1	17.7	0.42	16.0	16.5	-0.58
Tyronn Lue	52	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	-3	-2	18.1	17.9	0.14	15.5	16.9	-1.42
Al Harrington	66	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.21	-11	3	-14	18.2	17.6	0.57	16.2	15.6	0.54
Josh Childress	53	54	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.25	-13	5	-18	18.3	17.6	0.69	16.1	15.9	0.28

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	51	49	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-5	18	16.0	16.1	-0.07	17.9	18.2	-0.39
Jacque Vaughn	38	35	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	0	8	16.6	15.6	0.92	17.7	18.3	-0.57
Richard Jefferson	80	81	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-2	12	15.8	20.2	-4.41	17.8	22.5	-4.70
Jason Kidd	66	68	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	-1	10	15.9	16.6	-0.65	18.4	16.6	1.79
Vince Carter	71	72	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	6	-4	16.0	16.5	-0.58	18.0	18.1	-0.06
Scott Padgett	29	27	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	0	8	16.4	15.9	0.51	18.3	17.9	0.40
Lamond Murray	11	12	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	5	-2	17.4	15.8	1.51	18.7	17.9	0.75
Nenad Krstic	42	45	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	14	-20	15.8	16.3	-0.48	18.1	17.9	0.23
Jason Collins	32	36	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.01	-7	15	-22	16.1	16.0	0.02	17.9	18.1	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 90, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.95,1,1	92.1%
CHH 80, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.85,0.97,1	92.0%
TOR 83, CLE 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	91.8%