NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	97		Excitement	8.9 [105]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): +21.6%
Denver Nuggets	98		Comeback	2.2 [678]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -24.1%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	14	52%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Michael Dickerson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	17	51%	0.10	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.03
Damon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Long	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	5	60%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ike Austin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	13	61%	0.06	4	-0.19	2	0%	-0.06
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.17,-0.21,-0.18,-0.05,-0.24	-0.03	-0.20	0.01	20	59%	-0.07	5	-0.18	14	93%	0.07

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.04	0.16	-0.01	8	70%	0.29	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	13	69%	0.20	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	15	67%	0.11	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Dan McClintock	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.07,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.09	4	-0.14	11	55%	-0.06
Robert Pack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.03
Kevin Willis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	17	39%	-0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.7	27.2	16.3	25.5	1.6	33.2	126.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +72.3%

VAN -5.1%

VAN -13.0%

VAN -4.1%

DEN +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	DEN	NBA	VAN	DEN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.1	15.5	100.0	100.0	100.9
season	15.6	15.2		97.4	101.4
opponent	15.2	15.1		104.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.2	17.0	13.9	17.2	15.5
DEN	14.0	12.5	14.3	15.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	36	38	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-5	9	15.0	15.8	-0.75	14.2	14.0	0.14
Kevin Edwards	16	15	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-5	9	16.3	15.3	1.00	12.1	14.4	-2.37
Damon Jones	9	8	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	1	-3	17.4	15.3	2.17	10.9	14.4	-3.48
Stromile Swift	33	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.05	-1	0	-1	15.1	15.7	-0.63	14.0	14.1	-0.15
Ike Austin	25	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	2	-5	16.1	15.2	0.87	13.1	14.4	-1.25
Bryant Reeves	72	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-3	5	15.2	16.1	-0.87	14.4	13.1	1.25
Mike Bibby	88	90	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.47	1	-2	3	15.3	17.4	-2.17	14.4	10.9	3.48
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	87	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	2	-5	15.7	13.5	2.20	14.2	12.7	1.55
Grant Long	34	34	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.50	-2	1	-3	16.2	15.1	1.13	14.2	14.0	0.16
Michael Dickerson	85	86	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.46	-5	4	-9	15.2	17.7	-2.60	14.2	12.9	1.32

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Voshon Lenard	53	54	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.48	6	-5	11	13.6	14.6	-0.98	15.9	15.0	0.85
Kevin Willis	89	87	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	0	1	14.2	12.6	1.67	15.4	16.0	-0.59
George McCloud	76	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.47	-1	2	-3	14.2	13.7	0.50	15.5	15.4	0.05
James Posey	91	89	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.44	-2	3	-5	14.0	14.7	-0.69	15.7	12.7	2.97
Robert Pack	69	69	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.36	-2	3	-5	14.7	12.7	2.01	15.1	16.3	-1.19
Raef LaFrentz	79	79	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	-3	7	14.4	12.6	1.85	15.2	16.8	-1.60
Anthony Goldwire	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	0	1	12.3	14.3	-2.03	16.5	15.3	1.23
Ryan Bowen	18	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	0	1	12.2	14.5	-2.33	15.2	15.5	-0.33
Dan McClintock	2	1	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	4	-7	11.0	14.1	-3.14	16.0	15.5	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.41,0.71,0.67,0.56,0.78,0.76,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.73,1	92.1%
NJN 97, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.77,0.95,1	91.3%
IND 96, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.59,0.76,0.61,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.85,1	91.3%