NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Excitement	5.9 [492]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +26.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	83		Comeback	1.5 [432]		LVP	Derrick Williams (MIN): -15.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.11	-0.02	31	56%	0.32	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.02
Wesley Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Lee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	7	58%	0.12	4	-0.10	5	40%	-0.04
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	13	52%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	11	21%	-0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	13	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
DJ White	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.04	0.09	-0.03	0.02	15	59%	0.05	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.04
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	14	44%	-0.00	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.7	30.5	13.8	24.3	2.5	29.3	125.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +46.9%

CHA -2.0%

MIN +18.8%

CHA -13.4%

CHA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHA	NBA	MIN	CHA	NBA
this game	16.8	15.0	15.6	94.6	94.3	102.8
season	15.3	16.3		102.6	94.1
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.4	16.0	18.3	15.6	16.8
CHA	15.2	14.6	16.8	13.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	63	58	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-6	17	17.4	15.5	1.88	14.1	16.7	-2.53
Kevin Love	85	79	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	0	5	17.1	13.2	3.86	14.6	18.8	-4.21
Luke Ridnour	84	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	1	3	17.1	13.9	3.19	14.6	18.0	-3.38
Martell Webster	78	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	0	5	17.0	15.7	1.32	15.6	12.2	3.38
Anthony Tolliver	59	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	9	-13	16.0	18.1	-2.07	14.4	16.1	-1.74
Derrick Williams	42	40	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	-4	13	17.2	16.5	0.72	16.7	13.6	3.16
Wayne Ellington	45	45	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.22	-6	11	-17	15.6	17.9	-2.36	15.2	14.8	0.36
Malcolm Lee	9	10	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	4	-3	13.9	17.1	-3.19	18.0	14.6	3.38

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	37	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.26	7	-12	19	15.2	14.8	0.42	16.4	17.0	-0.64
Gerald Henderson	74	78	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-8	11	14.9	15.6	-0.76	17.2	14.4	2.83
Reggie Williams	31	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-4	3	15.5	14.7	0.85	15.2	17.6	-2.37
D.J. Augustin	41	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	3	-11	16.0	14.1	1.87	17.8	15.8	1.98
DJ White	55	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	0	-5	15.8	13.7	2.04	17.4	15.6	1.82
Bismack Biyombo	36	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	6	-17	16.7	13.8	2.96	17.4	16.4	1.01
Byron Mullens	23	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-3	1	13.3	15.6	-2.24	16.0	17.0	-0.99
Kemba Walker	47	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-8	11	14.1	16.0	-1.87	15.8	17.8	-1.98
Derrick Brown	34	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-3	1	13.1	16.2	-3.16	15.6	17.5	-1.93
Corey Maggette	62	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	4	-13	14.7	15.7	-0.98	17.2	15.8	1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.38,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0,0,0	94.3%
NOH 92, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0	94.0%
SAS 94, LAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0	93.8%