inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 87 Excitement5.0 [647] MVPMatt Bonner (SAS): +16.8%
San Antonio Spurs 104 Comeback2.1 [571] LVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): -20.6%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Kidd0.130,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.040.001164%0.1300.0000%0.00
Jason Terry0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.01-0.001850%0.0500.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.08-0.000.04679%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Brian Cardinal0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dominique Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yi Jianlian0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03133%0.001-0.01450%-0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01667%0.073-0.083100%0.00
Vince Carter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01530%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Shawn Marion-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.021154%0.013-0.062100%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.210,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.13-0.060.012133%-0.152-0.056100%0.03

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.150.020.007100%0.1700.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.04-0.01762%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.03-0.02850%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.090.000.07875%0.0200.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.050.05-0.021148%0.083-0.061100%0.00
James Anderson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Dawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.063100%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.000.01667%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.011100%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.04-0.041943%0.001-0.044100%0.03
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.110.01-0.001837%-0.033-0.07475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.427.315.722.01.829.0122.5
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +36.2%
SAS +3.1%
SAS +18.4%
DAL -9.8%
SAS +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSASNBADALSASNBA
this game15.915.115.693.5111.8102.8
season15.515.3101.6109.1
opponent15.215.5101.5100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL17.016.016.114.415.9
SAS14.316.715.913.815.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kidd62620.04-0.540.570.011-181916.514.52.0614.715.9-1.15
Shawn Marion58600.02-0.520.54-0.042-192116.514.71.7915.514.41.15
Dominique Jones55-0.00-0.500.500.15-5-12710.816.1-5.3511.015.3-4.34
Yi Jianlian55-0.00-0.500.500.15-5-12710.816.1-5.3511.015.3-4.34
Ian Mahinmi6566-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-171716.614.12.5614.915.6-0.74
Brian Cardinal99-0.10-0.400.300.19-10-7-315.715.9-0.2114.015.2-1.23
Dirk Nowitzki7271-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.16-6-11515.915.60.3715.115.3-0.22
Rodrigue Beaubois5153-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.02-13-4-915.316.6-1.3016.313.52.78
Brandan Wright2827-0.41-0.09-0.320.09-170-1714.116.6-2.5615.614.90.74
Jason Terry6362-0.610.11-0.72-0.17-15-2-1315.816.0-0.2615.115.1-0.03
Vince Carter4745-0.610.11-0.73-0.11-170-1715.915.9-0.0214.915.3-0.38

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Boris Diaw30280.63-0.130.760.0520-32315.814.81.0216.215.70.51
Matt Bonner52530.62-0.120.740.121701714.615.7-1.1214.917.1-2.18
Stephen Jackson42430.62-0.120.740.121701715.015.2-0.2415.316.3-0.99
Manu Ginobili56570.450.050.41-0.1019-22114.216.5-2.3315.616.2-0.64
Gary Neal53540.310.190.120.19413-916.713.03.6516.614.81.83
Danny Green71690.210.29-0.080.04611-515.214.90.2615.716.3-0.58
James Anderson550.000.50-0.50-0.15512-711.015.3-4.3410.816.1-5.35
Eric Dawson430.000.50-0.50-0.15512-711.515.3-3.7712.016.0-3.99
Kawhi Leonard5251-0.100.60-0.69-0.10017-1714.915.3-0.4216.515.11.35
DeJuan Blair3639-0.100.60-0.71-0.10017-1714.915.3-0.4016.215.60.59
Tim Duncan6463-0.150.65-0.800.09-825-3315.514.11.4116.514.61.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.78,0.87,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 83, MIA 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.9%
DAL 92, MEM 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.8%
ORL 81, ATL 910.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.7%