NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	92		Excitement	5.7 [664]		MVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): +11.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	109		Comeback	1.4 [920]		LVP	Antoine Walker (DAL): -21.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	19	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Shawn Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	11	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Josh Howard	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	11	38%	-0.05	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Steve Nash	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	11	36%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.20	-0.04	-0.02	14	21%	-0.11	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	11	67%	0.14	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.02	-0.09	11	46%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.03	10	86%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.03	0.05	5	75%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	10	52%	0.08	4	-0.10	1	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.04	11	61%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	6	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.7	32.2	16.3	29.1	1.7	26.2	131.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +34.8%

MEM +19.4%

DAL -12.9%

MEM +7.7%

MEM +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	15.7	92.0	111.2	100.5
season	14.6	15.3		109.2	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.6		100.5	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.8	15.3	14.2	13.4	14.4
MEM	15.2	14.0	13.5	16.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	58	55	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-21	25	14.7	14.1	0.54	16.2	12.7	3.50
Danny Fortson	26	23	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	15.1	14.2	0.93	20.0	13.0	6.92
Marquis Daniels	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-14	11	14.5	14.4	0.08	15.8	14.5	1.31
Shawn Bradley	14	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-14	11	15.1	14.3	0.75	10.8	15.4	-4.56
Steve Nash	69	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	-6	-5	14.0	15.5	-1.53	14.5	15.0	-0.55
Eduardo Najera	33	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-12	7	14.4	14.5	-0.10	14.6	14.7	-0.06
Travis Best	23	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-10	3	15.8	14.0	1.81	15.3	14.5	0.84
Dirk Nowitzki	78	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	-2	-13	13.7	16.9	-3.12	14.3	15.7	-1.35
Antoine Walker	53	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-8	-1	14.2	14.7	-0.51	14.4	15.0	-0.69
Michael Finley	70	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	1	-19	14.5	14.3	0.14	13.4	18.2	-4.80
Antawn Jamison	62	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	0	-17	14.8	13.8	1.08	14.1	15.6	-1.45

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	63	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.01	20	-3	23	14.3	15.3	-1.06	13.7	15.7	-2.02
Bo Outlaw	45	47	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	2	13	15.0	14.4	0.58	14.3	14.6	-0.29
Stromile Swift	49	50	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	9	-1	13.6	15.8	-2.22	14.1	14.7	-0.62
Earl Watson	29	30	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	9	-1	16.8	13.8	3.07	13.8	14.7	-0.90
James Posey	58	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.16	13	4	9	15.8	12.9	2.89	14.9	13.8	1.11
Jason Williams	69	70	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	8	1	13.8	16.8	-3.07	14.7	13.8	0.90
Lorenzen Wright	49	50	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	8	1	15.8	13.6	2.22	14.7	14.1	0.62
Mike Miller	27	27	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	11	-5	13.6	15.1	-1.53	14.9	14.2	0.68
Bonzi Wells	47	48	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	16	-15	14.6	14.7	-0.13	14.7	14.2	0.50
Dahntay Jones	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	11.5	14.9	-3.37	13.8	14.5	-0.63
Pau Gasol	48	49	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	19	-21	14.5	14.8	-0.28	14.5	14.4	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIN 92, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	94.2%
DAL 87, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.78,0.87,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.8%