inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 83 Excitement5.0 [788] MVPDell Curry (TOR): +12.6%
Miami Heat 103 Comeback1.4 [894] LVPCharles Oakley (TOR): -14.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dell Curry0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.110.030.01975%0.1300.002100%0.02
Vince Carter0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.090.030.001366%0.1200.00667%-0.02
Tracy Murray0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.05-0.00-0.06225%0.0100.00450%-0.01
Corliss Williamson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.02-0.00747%0.011-0.02367%-0.00
Alvin Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.05425%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Muggsy Bogues-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0100%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Michael Stewart-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00340%-0.0300.00450%0.00
Mark Jackson-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.02743%0.013-0.0600%0.00
Morris Peterson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01629%-0.041-0.022100%0.00
Keon Clark-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.13-0.01-0.04421%-0.062-0.04650%-0.02
Antonio Davis-0.120,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.05-0.060.011045%-0.052-0.0620%-0.05
Charles Oakley-0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.15-0.03-0.041135%-0.045-0.1110%-0.03

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Mason0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.01-0.011464%0.1000.00560%-0.03
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.06-0.02490%0.113-0.022100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
A.C. Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.01564%0.0400.00475%-0.00
Cedric Ceballos00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01462%0.0010.0000%0.00
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.01356%-0.0000.003100%0.01
Eddie Jones0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.080.04-0.042045%0.114-0.1200%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.03-0.001157%0.073-0.09862%-0.02
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.001544%-0.052-0.02475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.62.430.515.423.62.528.0129.9
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +32.4%
MIA +9.0%
TOR -2.7%
MIA +13.1%
TOR -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game16.014.615.588.3109.6100.9
season15.816.3103.798.4
opponent16.115.496.9101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.015.217.315.816.0
MIA12.315.517.014.214.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Davis5858-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-202016.016.00.0314.914.10.82
Michael Stewart1010-0.07-0.430.350.07-5-151017.115.91.2111.115.0-3.94
Charles Oakley4445-0.08-0.420.340.12-7-13615.816.2-0.4716.912.64.32
Tracy Murray2221-0.11-0.390.270.00-4-161215.516.2-0.6214.214.7-0.55
Muggsy Bogues3334-0.16-0.340.180.19-12-8-415.216.5-1.2514.914.40.46
Morris Peterson3838-0.17-0.330.150.09-9-11215.316.5-1.1814.414.8-0.42
Alvin Williams3233-0.21-0.290.090.17-13-7-615.816.1-0.3613.815.1-1.32
Dell Curry4747-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-7-13616.315.70.5515.014.20.85
Mark Jackson5352-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.10-5-151016.415.50.8615.214.01.20
Vince Carter6160-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.10-8-12416.515.21.2514.414.9-0.46
Keon Clark4444-0.42-0.08-0.330.05-16-4-1216.016.0-0.0412.516.4-3.89
Corliss Williamson2828-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.01-14-6-816.515.80.6314.814.50.29

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Majerle51510.56-0.060.62-0.2026-63213.715.7-2.0816.615.31.24
A.C. Green48490.51-0.010.52-0.1623-32614.115.1-1.0116.315.70.55
Anthony Mason69670.490.010.470.08146814.415.2-0.7916.614.52.16
Anthony Carter48500.360.140.21-0.141731414.115.1-0.9615.616.5-0.86
Eddie Jones72710.320.180.140.08812-414.614.7-0.1416.315.30.95
Tim Hardaway64630.190.31-0.12-0.16128414.614.6-0.0215.816.4-0.55
Bruce Bowen40390.130.37-0.250.10119-1815.913.72.2316.215.90.27
Cedric Ceballos880.000.50-0.500.06-222-2416.014.51.5112.716.3-3.58
Eddie House880.000.50-0.500.06-222-2416.014.51.5112.716.3-3.58
Brian Grant6264-0.050.55-0.60-0.14317-1415.213.41.8415.716.8-1.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 105, DEN 1170.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.62,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.9%
HOU 96, PHX 1090.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.2%
DAL 87, SAS 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.78,0.87,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,193.9%