NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	96		Excitement	5.3 [732]		MVP	Wesley Person (PHX): +16.8%
Phoenix Suns	109		Comeback	1.9 [685]		LVP	Charles Barkley (HOU): -24.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.00	0.04	10	85%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.03	0.04	24	63%	0.17	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	4	75%	0.08	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Charles Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	17	51%	0.01	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Sedale Threatt	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.05	0.03	12	37%	-0.07	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.21	-0.04	-0.01	14	19%	-0.20	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.07	0.03	14	70%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.03	18	67%	0.11	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	7	79%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	16	41%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Ben Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horacio Llamas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	1.8	27.0	17.3	25.4	2.4	32.3	126.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +35.0%

PHX +6.3%

HOU -7.7%

PHX +16.3%

PHX +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	15.6	99.0	112.4	104.4
season	15.5	14.6		107.2	106.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		106.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.2	15.6	15.6	12.8	14.5
PHX	14.0	14.4	15.1	17.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Jones	6	5	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-17	21	12.5	14.6	-2.14	19.0	15.0	4.02
Othella Harrington	25	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-11	9	13.7	14.8	-1.06	15.5	15.1	0.41
Matt Bullard	8	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-13	13	8.6	15.0	-6.41	17.3	15.0	2.26
Charles Barkley	52	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-11	9	15.1	13.9	1.19	15.4	14.9	0.55
Matt Maloney	65	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-7	1	14.3	15.0	-0.69	15.5	14.6	0.84
Mario Elie	79	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-6	-1	14.2	15.8	-1.56	15.0	16.2	-1.20
Hakeem Olajuwon	79	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-8	3	14.7	13.8	0.82	15.2	15.2	-0.02
Sedale Threatt	45	44	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-1	-11	14.2	14.8	-0.57	14.7	15.6	-0.84
Clyde Drexler	79	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.00	-17	4	-21	15.0	12.3	2.67	14.9	16.5	-1.63
Eddie Johnson	47	47	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.19	-18	5	-23	15.6	13.5	2.07	15.0	15.4	-0.44

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	59	58	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.16	23	-10	33	15.0	15.4	-0.39	14.6	14.3	0.33
Kevin Johnson	94	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-3	19	15.1	19.0	-3.94	14.7	7.0	7.74
Jason Kidd	78	79	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	-1	15	14.9	16.5	-1.67	14.7	13.8	0.89
Hot Rod Williams	83	82	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	2	9	15.4	14.1	1.22	14.8	13.0	1.78
Steve Nash	11	12	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	8	-3	15.5	15.1	0.41	10.9	15.0	-4.10
Rex Chapman	71	72	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	6	1	15.2	15.1	0.10	14.6	14.3	0.25
Cedric Ceballos	14	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	11	-9	15.9	15.1	0.78	16.4	14.2	2.17
Ben Davis	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	19.0	15.1	3.94	7.0	14.7	-7.74
Danny Manning	23	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	15	-17	15.7	15.0	0.67	13.7	14.8	-1.12
Horacio Llamas	49	49	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.12	-8	21	-29	15.0	15.3	-0.29	14.3	14.7	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 83, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
VAN 94, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	94.0%
TOR 88, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.6,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.98,1	93.6%