NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	88		Excitement	6.2 [547]		MVP	Shawn Kemp (POR): +10.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	95		Comeback	1.5 [1124]		LVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): -12.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.02	0.06	-0.03	14	61%	0.18	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	10	70%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Tyrone Corbin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Michael Stewart	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	10	41%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	14	52%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	20%	-0.08
Antonio Davis	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	13	43%	-0.13	0	0.00	16	62%	-0.07

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	7	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.07	0.01	17	58%	0.16	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	10	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.05	-0.01	22	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	11	44%	-0.08	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	28.6	15.7	28.0	1.6	29.2	127.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +34.0%

POR +3.9%

POR +6.6%

POR +3.0%

POR +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	POR	NBA	TOR	POR	NBA
this game	17.0	16.5	15.5	102.3	110.5	100.9
season	15.8	15.8		103.7	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.4		100.3	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.5	17.5	15.7	18.6	17.0
POR	16.2	15.2	16.3	18.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	62	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-11	15	17.6	15.4	2.23	16.1	17.5	-1.44
Tyrone Corbin	8	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-6	5	19.7	16.7	3.01	12.2	16.9	-4.65
Kevin Willis	74	73	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.25	6	-13	19	17.3	15.2	2.16	16.7	15.2	1.45
Alvin Williams	74	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-11	15	16.2	22.2	-6.07	16.3	17.5	-1.24
Morris Peterson	9	9	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	5	-17	17.6	17.0	0.59	17.1	16.4	0.72
Mark Jackson	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-4	1	17.5	15.0	2.52	16.8	15.2	1.53
Michael Stewart	12	13	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	6	-19	15.2	17.3	-2.16	15.2	16.7	-1.45
Antonio Davis	79	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	16.8	19.3	-2.46	16.9	12.2	4.65
Dell Curry	43	42	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	7	-21	16.5	17.5	-0.98	16.7	16.2	0.44

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	45	46	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.16	20	-13	33	16.0	17.0	-0.98	17.7	16.2	1.45
Shawn Kemp	43	44	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.17	18	-11	29	16.1	16.8	-0.74	17.9	16.1	1.81
Bonzi Wells	36	36	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-8	23	16.0	16.8	-0.85	18.4	16.0	2.40
Damon Stoudamire	70	70	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	7	-7	16.8	15.2	1.57	16.8	18.1	-1.28
Dale Davis	59	58	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	8	-9	15.9	17.8	-1.91	16.1	19.0	-2.98
Greg Anthony	14	14	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	2	3	15.4	16.7	-1.32	18.8	16.7	2.11
Rasheed Wallace	70	70	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	10	-13	17.2	13.2	3.95	17.3	15.9	1.33
Steven Smith	50	50	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	15	-23	16.8	16.0	0.85	16.0	18.4	-2.40
Scottie Pippen	43	42	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	18	-29	16.8	16.1	0.74	16.1	17.9	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.6,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 104, POR 115	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
HOU 96, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%
DEN 96, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%