NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	7.2 [309]		MVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): +26.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	2.8 [65]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -45.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.13	0.00	10	74%	0.26	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.13	0.13	-0.00	7	81%	0.28	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	21	51%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Devin Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0	-0.03	0.04	0.00	13	46%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	10	48%	0.04	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.03
Josh Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	10	60%	0.08	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	11	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.09	0.01	14	82%	0.36	5	-0.10	12	75%	-0.03
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	-0.00	8	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	7	42%	0.06	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.04	12	67%	0.07	5	-0.13	3	33%	-0.04
Andrew Goudelock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.35,-0.34,-0.35,-0.39,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.46	-0.46	-0.25	-0.20	-0.00	20	31%	-0.26	7	-0.20	9	89%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	28.4	15.7	30.2	2.7	34.4	138.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.4%

LAL -16.5%

LAL -2.9%

UTA +25.6%

UTA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	14.0	13.7	15.6	99.0	95.2	102.8
season	15.8	16.2		104.0	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.5	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.7	13.2	13.4	15.9	14.0
LAL	14.0	14.0	13.2	13.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	61	61	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-7	18	14.4	13.4	1.05	14.4	12.7	1.72
Josh Howard	59	59	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.01	17	-13	30	13.1	15.2	-2.06	14.2	13.1	1.09
Devin Harris	74	74	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-7	18	14.1	13.9	0.20	13.6	13.9	-0.26
CJ Miles	66	66	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-7	18	13.8	14.3	-0.52	13.6	13.8	-0.25
Paul Millsap	80	80	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	-3	10	14.2	13.5	0.66	13.4	14.6	-1.17
Enes Kanter	51	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	6	-8	13.4	14.6	-1.21	13.5	13.9	-0.38
Alec Burks	41	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.40	-12	16	-28	15.0	13.3	1.72	13.1	14.1	-0.99
Jamaal Tinsley	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.22	-7	11	-18	13.9	14.1	-0.20	13.9	13.6	0.26
Gordon Hayward	42	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.19	-8	12	-20	14.5	13.6	0.90	13.8	13.6	0.12
Jeremy Evans	16	16	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	12	-20	13.6	14.1	-0.53	12.9	13.8	-0.88

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	25	25	0.25	-0.75	0.99	-0.11	12	-16	28	14.1	13.6	0.52	14.3	13.9	0.41
Andrew Goudelock	24	24	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.13	7	-11	18	13.0	13.9	-0.89	14.0	14.0	-0.07
Ramon Sessions	49	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.18	1	-5	6	14.0	13.4	0.60	13.8	14.2	-0.48
Matt Barnes	63	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.36	7	-11	18	13.2	14.4	-1.21	14.2	13.7	0.46
Metta World Peace	39	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	3	-10	14.1	13.4	0.63	13.7	14.2	-0.42
Josh McRoberts	23	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.00	-7	3	-10	13.4	13.8	-0.32	12.8	14.4	-1.58
Andrew Bynum	81	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-2	0	13.5	14.4	-0.97	14.1	13.6	0.57
Steve Blake	57	57	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	5	-14	13.7	13.7	-0.04	14.2	13.8	0.44
Kobe Bryant	80	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.27	-11	7	-18	13.9	13.0	0.89	14.0	14.0	0.07
Pau Gasol	79	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.29	-11	7	-18	13.8	13.2	0.69	14.1	13.6	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.38,0.39,0.23,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.03,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.08,0	93.3%
POR 103, OKC 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%
ORL 92, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.02,0	93.0%