NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	91		Excitement	8.4 [159]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +57.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	95		Comeback	8.9 [193]		LVP	Goran Dragic (HOU): -19.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.35	0.21	0.15	0.00	14	81%	0.35	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Chase Budinger	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	14	66%	0.19	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.05,0.19,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	11	54%	0.13	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.07
Marcus Morris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Fortson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	14	30%	-0.10	2	-0.09	5	40%	-0.05
Goran Dragic	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	10	48%	0.07	6	-0.27	3	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.11,0.22,0.58	0.58	0.06	0.50	-0.02	16	57%	0.62	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.12
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	17	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	46%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.11	0.02	13	56%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	15	34%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	1	17%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	26.2	15.8	27.2	1.8	38.3	137.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -22.6%

LAC +7.6%

LAC +39.7%

LAC +33.8%

HOU -8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.6	100.0	108.0	102.8
season	15.4	16.2		103.5	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.5		104.5	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.7	15.0	18.3	16.6	15.8
LAC	15.8	17.0	16.8	16.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	49	45	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.16	2	-6	8	16.4	15.1	1.29	17.7	15.1	2.60
Marcus Morris	32	33	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.03	6	-10	16	14.0	16.7	-2.71	16.2	16.5	-0.30
Courtney Fortson	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-3	2	9.5	16.1	-6.58	6.2	16.9	-10.63
Greg Smith	4	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-2	0	13.2	15.9	-2.66	14.7	16.5	-1.73
Patrick Patterson	57	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.43	3	-7	10	15.9	15.6	0.32	16.3	16.6	-0.38
Chase Budinger	78	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	16.3	12.5	3.88	16.9	13.4	3.54
Goran Dragic	84	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	0	-4	15.9	14.7	1.17	16.5	15.0	1.52
Courtney Lee	76	73	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.37	-12	8	-20	16.0	14.6	1.43	15.9	18.7	-2.74
Luis Scola	71	68	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.55	-9	5	-14	15.6	16.4	-0.84	16.2	16.9	-0.71

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	54	56	1.12	-0.62	1.74	0.74	13	-9	22	16.2	16.8	-0.60	15.9	15.6	0.31
DeAndre Jordan	50	53	1.11	-0.61	1.71	0.43	23	-19	42	15.8	17.2	-1.48	17.0	14.1	2.94
Chris Paul	71	72	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.49	12	-8	20	15.8	18.9	-3.08	15.7	16.3	-0.66
Randy Foye	63	67	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.20	16	-12	28	16.0	17.5	-1.51	16.9	12.8	4.07
Blake Griffin	52	57	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-2	8	16.7	16.0	0.67	17.1	13.6	3.47
Eric Bledsoe	4	4	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.09	-8	12	-20	18.7	16.3	2.46	6.7	16.2	-9.46
Bobby Simmons	33	33	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.08	-4	8	-12	16.3	16.4	-0.10	14.7	16.4	-1.72
Kenyon Martin	37	37	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.10	-8	12	-20	17.2	15.8	1.46	14.9	16.4	-1.56
Reggie Evans	28	28	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	0.04	-19	23	-42	17.3	16.0	1.30	13.0	17.0	-4.08
Mo Williams	48	48	-0.60	1.10	-1.70	-0.28	-11	15	-26	17.1	15.5	1.65	15.3	16.3	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.22,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 87, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.14,0.09,0.23,0.16,1	90.7%
UTA 111, WAS 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.81,0.79,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.42,1	90.3%
TOR 93, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.15,0.16,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.39,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.53,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.55,0.43,0.42,1	90.3%