NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	9.8 [82]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +92.2%
Washington Wizards	114		Comeback	6.6 [307]		LVP	Derek Fisher (UTA): -10.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.71	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.47,0.71,0.71	0.26	0.48	0.03	22	70%	0.71	0	0.00	10	80%	0.03
Carlos Boozer	0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.28	0.10	0.20	0.02	18	67%	0.42	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Jarron Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.07	-0.01	7	45%	0.12	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.03
Ronnie Brewer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	6	29%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.39,0.84,0.92	0.92	0.37	0.58	0.02	29	68%	0.94	1	-0.02	17	94%	0.17
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.19	0.19	0.01	0.18	0.00	5	50%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	0.00	2	78%	0.15	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.00	16	54%	0.17	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.09	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	83%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.01	8	44%	0.06	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.5	31.2	15.5	28.4	1.8	36.1	138.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +25.4%

WAS +19.8%

WAS +9.2%

UTA -3.9%

UTA -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	WAS	NBA	UTA	WAS	NBA
this game	16.6	14.5	15.4	119.4	123.9	104.5
season	15.9	14.8		107.4	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		108.7	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.1	17.7	18.0	14.6	16.6
WAS	14.5	14.3	12.0	17.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	26	25	0.27	-0.77	1.03	-0.06	11	-14	25	16.4	16.7	-0.30	14.8	14.4	0.44
Jarron Collins	10	11	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.02	5	-8	13	17.2	16.5	0.67	13.1	14.7	-1.63
Derek Fisher	44	45	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.08	6	-9	15	15.6	17.5	-1.96	16.3	12.8	3.50
Ronnie Brewer	41	41	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-3	3	17.7	15.7	1.98	12.1	16.5	-4.42
Dee Brown	8	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-3	3	16.5	16.6	-0.11	11.9	14.7	-2.88
Matt Harpring	54	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.50	7	-10	17	15.7	17.8	-2.05	15.2	13.6	1.57
Deron Williams	72	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	2	-7	16.4	17.1	-0.70	15.2	12.1	3.11
Mehmet Okur	77	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.38	-8	5	-13	16.7	16.1	0.58	14.9	12.5	2.45
Andrei Kirilenko	60	57	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.25	-17	14	-31	17.6	14.8	2.77	13.8	15.8	-2.02
Carlos Boozer	73	72	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.36	-14	11	-25	16.5	17.0	-0.51	14.2	15.7	-1.57

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarvis Hayes	34	35	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.56	8	-5	13	12.6	15.7	-3.11	17.3	16.2	1.14
Gilbert Arenas	78	79	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-7	17	14.4	15.0	-0.56	16.8	15.5	1.30
Antawn Jamison	75	74	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-7	17	14.6	14.2	0.42	16.9	15.4	1.48
Caron Butler	86	88	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.38	7	-4	11	14.4	16.2	-1.76	16.3	21.4	-5.07
Brendan Haywood	56	56	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	-9	21	14.1	15.1	-1.01	16.9	16.1	0.87
Antonio Daniels	39	40	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.48	-10	13	-23	15.6	13.8	1.81	15.2	17.7	-2.46
DeShawn Stevenson	39	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	2	-1	14.9	14.2	0.74	16.5	16.7	-0.14
Donell Taylor	6	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	5	-7	19.2	14.2	4.97	18.3	16.5	1.82
Andray Blatche	13	12	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	12	-21	14.1	14.6	-0.52	16.3	16.6	-0.31
Etan Thomas	34	34	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.04	-12	15	-27	15.1	14.2	0.95	16.4	16.7	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.81,0.79,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.15,0.16,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.39,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.53,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.55,0.43,0.42,1	92.9%
HOU 91, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.22,0.26,1	90.3%
BOS 93, DAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.23,0.13,0.18,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.27,0.41,0.21,0.22,0.59,1	89.5%