NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	93		Excitement	8.9 [119]		MVP	Travis Knight (BOS): +30.7%
Dallas Mavericks	99		Comeback	7.5 [74]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -44.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Knight	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.31	0.10	0.21	0.00	7	86%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	15	48%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Andrew DeClercq	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Ron Mercer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	15	51%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.03
Dana Barros	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Greg Minor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.31	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.31	-0.14	-0.18	-0.01	15	33%	-0.18	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.44	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.29,-0.21,-0.35,-0.44	-0.14	-0.30	0.00	25	42%	-0.27	4	-0.17	5	60%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martin Muursepp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.04	0.02	6	91%	0.22	3	-0.14	11	91%	0.10
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,0.05	0.05	-0.10	0.15	-0.00	15	46%	0.14	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.03
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	15	72%	0.22	4	-0.17	6	67%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.03
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.05	-0.02	10	35%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bubba Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	3	-0.23	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.5	29.4	15.7	23.1	1.6	41.9	135.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +76.5%

DAL +17.5%

BOS -2.2%

BOS -48.6%

DAL +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DAL	NBA	BOS	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	13.7	15.6	93.9	101.0	102.5
season	15.1	15.8		100.2	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		104.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.7	14.5	17.9	15.4	15.5
DAL	16.6	13.2	14.2	11.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Minor	30	30	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.06	2	-8	10	15.1	15.7	-0.67	14.2	13.5	0.73
Bruce Bowen	26	26	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.15	-4	-2	-2	13.2	16.4	-3.18	13.6	13.7	-0.16
Andrew DeClercq	58	55	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-5	4	15.7	15.3	0.37	14.4	12.8	1.61
Dana Barros	32	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-1	-4	13.4	16.5	-3.10	13.6	13.7	-0.13
Antoine Walker	86	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-6	6	15.6	15.0	0.62	13.7	13.6	0.09
Kenny Anderson	67	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-5	4	16.5	13.4	3.10	13.7	13.6	0.13
Travis Knight	41	43	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.34	-5	-1	-4	15.3	15.7	-0.37	12.8	14.4	-1.61
Ron Mercer	70	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	-1	-4	16.1	14.1	2.03	14.1	12.7	1.32
Walter McCarty	85	82	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.37	-11	5	-16	15.8	13.6	2.20	13.2	16.1	-2.91

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	81	79	1.10	-0.60	1.70	0.48	21	-15	36	13.5	14.5	-1.01	16.6	11.3	5.31
Khalid Reeves	74	75	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.29	15	-9	24	13.7	13.8	-0.13	16.0	14.0	2.08
Martin Muursepp	38	38	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.32	12	-6	18	11.4	15.2	-3.80	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Chris Anstey	78	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.45	4	2	2	13.9	12.8	1.06	15.3	16.5	-1.25
Bubba Wells	32	34	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.27	-2	8	-10	10.9	15.1	-4.19	13.7	16.5	-2.79
A.C. Green	51	51	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	8	-10	16.0	11.2	4.77	15.9	15.1	0.84
Shawn Bradley	32	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.22	3	3	0	12.2	14.4	-2.14	16.4	15.1	1.25
Erick Strickland	57	58	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	14	-22	15.2	11.6	3.67	15.6	15.4	0.16
Hubert Davis	47	48	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	-0.09	-13	19	-32	14.1	13.3	0.83	14.1	16.9	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.23,0.13,0.18,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.27,0.41,0.21,0.22,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 95, LAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.15,0.42,1	90.0%
NJN 92, SEA 95	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.42,1	89.8%
POR 97, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.85,1	89.7%