NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	124		Excitement	4.4 [732]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): +27.6%
Sacramento Kings	112		Comeback	5.8 [102]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -6.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.25	0.05	0.03	18	73%	0.30	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.04
Tayshaun Prince	0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.01	-0.00	20	67%	0.17	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.19	0.02	0.08	20	74%	0.17	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	69%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.00	0.02	12	78%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.05	17	59%	0.07	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.08	14	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.04
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	3	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	9	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	15	39%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	29.3	15.4	25.3	2.5	32.4	129.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.3%

DET +9.8%

SAC -2.1%

DET +10.5%

DET +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	SAC	NBA	DET	SAC	NBA
this game	16.7	13.7	15.6	131.9	117.9	102.8
season	16.3	14.9		99.5	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.4		107.9	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.0	15.9	18.6	16.8	16.7
SAC	12.3	14.1	17.4	12.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	72	73	0.74	-0.24	0.97	-0.03	26	-14	40	15.9	19.5	-3.54	14.2	12.1	2.10
Rodney Stuckey	82	84	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.00	23	-11	34	16.5	18.7	-2.20	13.9	12.9	0.95
Jason Maxiell	56	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-5	22	15.4	18.7	-3.21	14.8	12.1	2.73
Greg Monroe	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-3	18	16.3	17.8	-1.49	13.8	13.5	0.29
Brandon Knight	77	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-2	16	15.9	20.4	-4.40	14.0	12.7	1.26
Ben Wallace	25	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	15	-18	17.8	16.3	1.49	13.5	13.8	-0.29
Jonas Jerebko	29	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	18	-24	18.9	15.8	3.06	12.6	14.2	-1.62
Ben Gordon	31	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.10	-9	21	-30	19.2	15.5	3.65	12.4	14.4	-2.02
Damien Wilkins	29	28	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.27	-17	29	-46	19.5	15.5	3.96	12.0	14.5	-2.53

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	56	59	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-17	22	12.2	16.0	-3.78	16.2	17.7	-1.59
Jimmer Fredette	13	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-12	12	13.8	13.7	0.03	20.7	16.2	4.59
Francisco Garcia	29	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.19	-10	-2	-8	13.6	13.8	-0.23	18.2	16.1	2.09
Isaiah Thomas	75	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-10	8	13.3	15.2	-1.90	16.1	19.5	-3.42
Tyreke Evans	55	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-6	0	14.1	13.3	0.77	16.5	17.1	-0.61
Jason Thompson	80	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-4	-4	14.2	11.5	2.71	16.6	17.4	-0.74
Marcus Thornton	68	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-6	0	13.6	14.1	-0.51	16.0	18.7	-2.64
John Salmons	56	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	2	-16	13.5	14.1	-0.52	17.1	16.3	0.83
Charles Hayes	43	41	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	7	-26	15.9	12.0	3.86	18.0	15.8	2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 102, SAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.24,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%
SAC 104, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	94.0%
PHI 93, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0	93.9%