NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	3.8 [1040]		MVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): +20.0%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	4.6 [19]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -8.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.02	-0.02	15	65%	0.24	2	-0.04	19	84%	0.05
Donte Greene	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	4	125%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	12	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	6	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.02
Sergio Rodriguez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean May	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	41%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	5	85%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	6	56%	0.06	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	71%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.12	-0.02	0.10	20	63%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	8	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.03	12	57%	-0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	18%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	0.06	15	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	30.1	15.6	27.2	1.8	36.4	137.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +38.8%

SAC +8.0%

SAC +4.8%

UTA -2.2%

SAC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.7	15.0	15.3	114.3	108.8	106.0
season	15.2	15.3		103.7	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		104.5	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.9	14.6	15.3	20.2	16.7
UTA	15.1	16.0	16.0	12.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	79	80	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-6	17	17.0	14.7	2.24	15.1	14.2	0.88
Ime Udoka	40	40	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	-14	33	13.6	19.1	-5.56	15.3	14.7	0.61
Jason Thompson	74	76	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	1	3	17.1	14.7	2.44	14.7	16.3	-1.57
Beno Udrih	62	61	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	2	1	17.7	14.6	3.04	14.4	16.0	-1.61
Spencer Hawes	56	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	4	-3	18.0	14.6	3.35	14.1	16.3	-2.16
Donte Greene	24	25	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	-4	13	14.1	17.6	-3.49	16.2	14.5	1.72
Kenny Thomas	29	29	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	2	1	14.9	17.5	-2.69	16.5	14.2	2.24
Andres Nocioni	53	53	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.54	-17	22	-39	18.5	14.1	4.44	14.6	15.4	-0.84
Sean May	21	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	5	-5	15.5	17.1	-1.58	16.6	14.5	2.11
Sergio Rodriguez	17	15	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.05	-8	13	-21	15.4	17.0	-1.65	14.1	15.1	-1.06

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrylo Fesenko	11	10	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.07	7	-12	19	12.9	15.2	-2.33	14.7	16.9	-2.24
Ronnie Brewer	62	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.47	13	-18	31	14.5	15.8	-1.28	18.1	13.7	4.41
Paul Millsap	37	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	4	-13	15.2	14.8	0.48	14.4	18.4	-3.99
Ronnie Price	22	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	8	-21	15.7	14.7	0.96	13.1	17.8	-4.69
Wesley Matthews	40	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	4	-13	15.6	14.5	1.15	15.3	17.9	-2.57
Andrei Kirilenko	68	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	1	-7	14.6	16.1	-1.51	16.8	16.5	0.29
Deron Williams	81	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-5	5	15.1	14.0	1.07	17.2	12.3	4.93
Carlos Boozer	72	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	1	-7	14.6	16.3	-1.72	17.3	14.4	2.87
Mehmet Okur	62	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.41	-2	-3	1	15.6	13.7	1.91	17.7	14.4	3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 102, SAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.24,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
SAC 123, MIA 113	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%
UTA 115, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.31,0.17,0.21,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%