NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	105		Excitement	6.5 [410]		MVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): +29.8%
New Jersey Nets	99		Comeback	4.3 [316]		LVP	MarShon Brooks (NJN): -17.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.19	0.14	0.03	23	67%	0.34	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Beno Udrih	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	11	62%	0.18	2	-0.07	2	50%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	19	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.05	0.03	13	54%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jon Leuer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.05	-0.03	8	12%	-0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.21	0.04	0.02	15	74%	0.26	1	-0.03	12	75%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.04	11	74%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.00	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	11	42%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	18	45%	0.00	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	10	42%	-0.06	5	-0.12	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	25.3	14.8	24.4	0.6	32.6	125.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +46.3%

NJN -13.2%

MIL +3.8%

MIL +11.3%

MIL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.1	15.1	15.6	107.1	100.0	102.8
season	14.6	16.2		103.8	101.3
opponent	15.2	15.6		107.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.0	13.8	13.2	15.6	14.1
NJN	14.2	15.0	15.6	15.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	65	66	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.28	15	-9	24	14.3	13.8	0.41	15.2	15.0	0.21
Mike Dunleavy	70	72	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.14	16	-10	26	14.6	13.0	1.62	15.3	14.7	0.61
Brandon Jennings	79	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-6	18	14.0	14.8	-0.83	15.4	13.9	1.44
Jon Leuer	29	30	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-5	16	12.9	14.6	-1.74	14.7	15.3	-0.64
Carlos Delfino	65	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	5	-4	14.7	13.1	1.60	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Drew Gooden	75	74	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	1	4	14.3	13.6	0.73	15.4	14.2	1.22
Larry Sanders	1	1	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	10	-14	13.0	14.1	-1.13	0.0	15.3	-15.27
Jon Brockman	19	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.11	-8	14	-22	14.2	14.1	0.04	13.1	15.6	-2.55
Tobias Harris	39	38	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.20	-12	18	-30	13.5	14.5	-1.01	14.3	15.6	-1.25
Ersan Ilyasova	48	49	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	12	-18	13.8	14.5	-0.69	15.9	14.4	1.52

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	40	42	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-10	14	16.1	14.5	1.62	13.5	14.6	-1.17
DeShawn Stevenson	42	40	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-8	10	15.2	15.0	0.22	13.3	14.7	-1.39
Kris Humphries	85	83	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-6	6	15.2	14.4	0.79	14.5	12.1	2.35
Jordan Farmar	72	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-6	6	15.4	14.3	1.07	14.2	14.0	0.11
MarShon Brooks	71	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-7	8	16.0	12.9	3.14	13.7	15.2	-1.48
Sundiata Gaines	28	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-3	0	14.0	15.5	-1.50	13.6	14.3	-0.68
Gerald Green	62	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	1	-8	14.5	16.1	-1.64	14.3	13.8	0.54
Johan Petro	46	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	8	-22	14.5	15.7	-1.22	14.0	14.2	-0.14
Anthony Morrow	49	50	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.39	-13	7	-20	14.3	15.9	-1.59	15.4	12.8	2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.5,0.43,0.32,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.14,0.07,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 96, NOH 88	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.79,0.78,0.68,0.54,0.43,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.4%
WAS 104, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.07,0.14,0.08,0	92.2%
MIL 95, OKC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.83,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.2%