NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	97		Excitement	5.9 [489]		MVP	Dorell Wright (GSW): +17.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	1.2 [297]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (LAC): -19.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	-0.00	-0.00	10	87%	0.19	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Klay Thompson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.11	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Charles Jenkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	12	64%	0.11	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.03	-0.09	0.01	10	70%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	16	52%	0.11	6	-0.21	8	87%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	79%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	11	62%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	8	19%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.07	0.04	18	55%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	19	51%	-0.01	3	-0.07	15	47%	-0.16
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	6	7%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	4	25%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.5	33.8	16.4	32.3	1.7	39.6	153.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +68.4%

GSW +4.6%

LAC -1.8%

LAC -23.8%

GSW +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	15.7	15.9	15.6	105.4	103.3	102.8
season	15.2	16.2		103.6	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.5	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.8	16.3	16.7	16.2	15.7
LAC	16.9	17.2	13.9	15.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	84	82	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.22	16	-12	28	15.1	22.1	-7.01	15.7	18.1	-2.42
Ekpe Udoh	59	59	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.31	11	-7	18	16.9	13.6	3.26	16.5	14.8	1.65
Dorell Wright	60	59	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.01	17	-13	30	15.3	16.6	-1.28	15.6	16.5	-0.96
David Lee	59	59	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	-4	12	15.7	15.7	0.05	15.3	17.1	-1.74
Stephen Curry	20	19	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	-2	8	15.5	15.8	-0.23	14.1	16.4	-2.30
Dominic McGuire	50	46	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	5	-6	15.4	16.1	-0.76	17.2	14.5	2.69
Brandon Rush	42	41	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.49	-15	19	-34	15.7	15.8	-0.11	15.9	16.0	-0.13
Andris Biedrins	12	10	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	2	0	13.1	16.1	-3.04	22.3	15.1	7.17
Klay Thompson	35	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.20	-7	11	-18	16.1	15.5	0.67	15.7	16.1	-0.34
Charles Jenkins	5	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	9	-14	13.2	15.9	-2.67	7.5	16.3	-8.81
Nate Robinson	34	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.30	-12	16	-28	17.5	14.7	2.86	15.7	16.1	-0.33

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	52	52	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.12	15	-19	34	16.3	15.4	0.91	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Reggie Evans	37	36	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.41	16	-20	36	16.5	15.5	0.91	17.8	14.4	3.41
Eric Bledsoe	28	26	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.30	12	-16	28	17.6	15.2	2.45	19.8	14.1	5.69
Mo Williams	57	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-7	10	16.8	14.4	2.37	15.4	16.3	-0.95
Caron Butler	37	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	11	-26	15.2	16.4	-1.20	15.8	15.7	0.16
DeAndre Jordan	37	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	15	-34	15.8	16.0	-0.28	15.8	15.7	0.06
Randy Foye	64	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	8	-20	15.1	17.9	-2.76	14.3	19.5	-5.15
Blake Griffin	70	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.16	-16	12	-28	16.1	15.2	0.93	15.5	16.7	-1.24
Chris Paul	68	73	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.60	-4	0	-4	14.9	19.0	-4.07	15.2	17.7	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.4,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.22,0.03,0.01,0	93.0%
SEA 96, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.22,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.45,0.33,0.09,0	92.9%
MIL 82, TOR 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.15,0.04,0	92.3%