NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	110		Excitement	4.2 [773]		MVP	Marreese Speights (MEM): +12.9%
Golden State Warriors	92		Comeback	1.6 [536]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -6.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	12	69%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	20	59%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.02	6	79%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	65%	0.10	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Tony Allen	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	80%	0.07	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.04	15	50%	0.05	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Selby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	68%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.01	0.07	11	70%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	43%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	45%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	9	46%	-0.00	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	19	40%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	27.3	15.7	24.3	2.3	28.7	125.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +27.6%

MEM +7.1%

MEM +7.7%

MEM +8.4%

GSW -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	14.4	16.2	15.6	117.0	97.9	102.8
season	15.6	15.2		102.0	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.8	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	11.0	13.8	16.7	16.6	14.4
GSW	17.8	15.0	16.8	15.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	64	62	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.04	20	-2	22	13.2	16.9	-3.73	16.9	14.9	1.98
Mike Conley	68	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-2	22	13.9	15.8	-1.90	16.6	15.5	1.06
Rudy Gay	77	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.08	18	0	18	13.8	16.9	-3.04	16.4	15.2	1.20
Tony Allen	59	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	2	14	13.3	16.2	-2.92	16.6	15.6	0.98
Marreese Speights	52	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	2	14	14.0	14.9	-0.92	17.1	15.1	1.91
Quincy Pondexter	49	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	4	10	14.7	14.1	0.58	14.8	17.6	-2.78
O.J. Mayo	50	52	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	10	-2	14.9	13.9	1.00	14.8	18.0	-3.13
Hamed Haddadi	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	20.2	13.7	6.50	15.3	16.3	-1.01
Jeremy Pargo	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	20.8	14.0	6.77	16.4	16.2	0.16
Sam Young	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	20.7	13.8	6.95	14.7	16.4	-1.63
Dante Cunningham	17	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	23	-28	16.2	14.0	2.18	16.8	16.1	0.66
Josh Selby	11	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	26	-34	17.3	14.0	3.26	16.6	16.2	0.44

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	40	40	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-20	22	14.8	17.3	-2.56	16.0	13.2	2.88
Andris Biedrins	4	4	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-19	20	17.7	16.2	1.57	11.7	14.5	-2.76
Charles Jenkins	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	14.7	16.4	-1.73	20.2	13.7	6.50
Jeremy Tyler	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	14.7	16.4	-1.73	20.2	13.7	6.50
Klay Thompson	53	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-16	14	14.8	18.1	-3.33	15.2	13.4	1.74
Chris Wright	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-19	20	13.5	16.6	-3.16	18.4	13.9	4.50
Brandon Rush	63	64	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-20	22	15.4	18.0	-2.57	14.6	13.9	0.68
Stephen Curry	47	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-22	26	15.0	17.5	-2.57	15.0	13.8	1.22
Dominic McGuire	31	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	1	-20	18.5	15.1	3.44	11.1	15.9	-4.76
Ekpe Udoh	68	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-6	-6	16.4	15.7	0.71	13.8	15.9	-2.10
Dorell Wright	21	20	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.22	-23	5	-28	19.5	15.3	4.22	10.8	15.4	-4.56
Monta Ellis	65	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	3	-24	17.5	13.5	3.99	13.4	16.5	-3.07
David Lee	47	49	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.26	-29	11	-40	17.8	14.7	3.04	13.8	15.0	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.46,0.36,0.24,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 105, DAL 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
DAL 99, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%
SEA 100, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.7%