NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	105		Excitement	4.0 [1046]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +23.9%
Dallas Mavericks	82		Comeback	2.0 [983]		LVP	Dennis Smith Jr. (DAL): -16.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.24	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.19	0.04	-0.01	16	76%	0.29	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.01	18	63%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	-0.00	5	83%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tarik Black	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	60%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Joe Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.01	0.05	9	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Gerald Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.05	13	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.02	-0.08	10	15%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.01	0.02	11	83%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Kyle Collinsworth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	6	42%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnathan Motley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jameel Warney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	9	22%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	8	12%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	16	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.03
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	7	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.18	-0.03	-0.05	12	17%	-0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	25.7	14.8	25.5	2.4	24.6	117.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +52.0%

HOU +7.3%

HOU +0.7%

DAL -11.9%

HOU +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	14.2	16.1	14.7	110.5	86.3	107.5
season	14.6	15.4		112.8	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.8		108.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.0	14.2	12.3	16.4	14.2
DAL	17.3	14.6	17.0	15.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	58	62	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.29	31	-8	39	14.2	14.2	0.08	16.3	15.8	0.49
Eric Gordon	61	61	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.24	27	-4	31	13.0	16.5	-3.52	17.5	13.6	3.87
Trevor Ariza	68	68	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.18	22	1	21	13.6	15.8	-2.24	16.9	14.1	2.79
PJ Tucker	41	41	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	6	11	13.2	15.0	-1.79	17.2	15.3	1.96
Clint Capela	46	47	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	16	-9	12.9	15.5	-2.60	17.5	14.7	2.82
Gerald Green	40	39	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.18	13	10	3	15.5	13.3	2.23	14.7	17.1	-2.31
Tarik Black	43	42	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.12	9	14	-5	15.8	12.9	2.93	14.8	17.1	-2.28
Joe Johnson	53	52	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	27	-31	15.3	12.8	2.55	14.5	18.0	-3.46
Luc Mbah a Moute	65	63	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	30	-37	14.8	12.8	2.01	14.9	18.4	-3.47

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	32	32	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.14	9	-32	41	13.8	17.3	-3.50	14.0	14.3	-0.36
Doug McDermott	51	53	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.12	8	-31	39	15.4	17.0	-1.62	14.9	13.4	1.49
Kyle Collinsworth	51	50	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.13	-2	-21	19	15.2	17.2	-2.01	14.6	13.8	0.82
Johnathan Motley	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-26	29	12.8	16.3	-3.49	17.0	14.0	2.98
Jameel Warney	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-21	19	14.8	16.3	-1.55	16.1	13.8	2.30
J.J. Barea	45	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-22	21	15.4	16.8	-1.42	15.2	13.3	1.92
Maxi Kleber	5	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-18	13	13.4	16.3	-2.86	13.0	14.3	-1.26
Harrison Barnes	64	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.18	-23	0	-23	16.8	14.7	2.12	13.6	15.4	-1.85
Dwight Powell	43	43	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.23	-25	2	-27	18.6	14.0	4.57	13.8	14.6	-0.77
Dennis Smith Jr.	59	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.11	-21	-2	-19	17.1	14.5	2.54	13.8	15.0	-1.23
Dirk Nowitzki	44	43	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.26	-27	4	-31	17.3	15.1	2.26	13.7	14.7	-0.98
Yogi Ferrell	61	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.25	-29	6	-35	15.8	16.6	-0.84	13.7	15.0	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 110, GSW 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.46,0.36,0.24,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
IND 103, DAL 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
PHI 105, CHA 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%