NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	101		Excitement	7.3 [297]		MVP	Josh Smith (ATL): +18.0%
Indiana Pacers	96		Comeback	1.4 [242]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -14.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.18	0.15	0.05	0.01	19	67%	0.22	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	13	62%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	7	67%	0.19	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Ivan Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	69%	0.08	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0	-0.06	0.05	-0.00	4	27%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.06
Erick Dampier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	10	35%	-0.04	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	13	77%	0.22	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	4	54%	0.08	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.04
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	17	45%	0.07	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	10	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	6	59%	0.03	4	-0.15	10	70%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	11	39%	-0.08	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	34.8	15.0	23.2	2.7	38.0	141.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +39.4%

IND -7.4%

ATL +23.8%

IND -7.4%

ATL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	16.6	15.1	15.6	111.0	105.5	102.8
season	15.7	15.7		102.5	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.9		101.1	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.8	16.6	16.8	18.3	16.6
IND	15.2	14.0	15.9	15.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	73	72	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.35	9	-4	13	17.0	14.9	2.03	15.1	14.8	0.30
Jannero Pargo	44	45	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.34	3	2	1	17.4	15.8	1.58	14.4	15.7	-1.34
Marvin Williams	54	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-4	13	15.9	17.5	-1.54	15.5	14.4	1.18
Zaza Pachulia	52	54	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.36	-2	7	-9	17.4	15.5	1.94	15.9	13.9	2.00
Jeff Teague	75	75	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	6	-7	16.4	17.4	-1.05	15.1	15.1	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	33	33	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-5	15	16.5	16.6	-0.09	16.1	14.5	1.64
Jerry Stackhouse	28	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	2	1	16.2	16.7	-0.52	15.3	15.0	0.35
Vladimir Radmanovic	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	14.6	16.8	-2.21	12.5	15.4	-2.90
Tracy McGrady	39	37	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.24	-7	12	-19	17.2	16.1	1.06	14.1	15.8	-1.68
Erick Dampier	25	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	3	-1	15.6	16.9	-1.28	14.8	15.2	-0.34
Ivan Johnson	22	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	6	-7	15.2	17.0	-1.77	14.3	15.3	-0.98

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Price	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-3	1	12.2	15.5	-3.35	15.6	16.7	-1.14
Lou Amundson	10	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-1	-3	12.5	15.4	-2.90	15.5	16.7	-1.23
Dahntay Jones	7	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	1	-7	12.6	15.3	-2.71	15.9	16.6	-0.76
Roy Hibbert	72	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-9	13	15.7	12.6	3.16	17.4	14.0	3.40
Paul George	60	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-8	11	15.8	13.6	2.17	16.9	16.0	0.92
Darren Collison	63	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-3	1	16.1	12.7	3.41	16.6	16.4	0.23
David West	66	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-8	11	15.2	14.9	0.27	16.6	16.5	0.08
Danny Granger	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-3	1	15.0	15.9	-0.95	16.4	17.7	-1.36
Tyler Hansbrough	34	36	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	8	-21	14.3	15.5	-1.25	15.4	17.4	-2.00
George Hill	51	50	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	1	-7	14.1	16.3	-2.18	16.7	16.4	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, WAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.43,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.1,0,0,0	93.1%
OKC 98, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.09,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0	92.8%
LAL 124, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.7%