NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	97		Excitement	8.7 [133]		MVP	Mo Williams (LAC): +28.9%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	2.7 [313]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -20.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.29	0.09	0.16	-0.04	16	69%	0.37	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	10	70%	0.18	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	36%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Randy Foye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	13	38%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	10	36%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	3	12%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Paul	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.2,-0.2	0.02	-0.23	-0.00	16	60%	-0.07	5	-0.13	8	87%	0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.11	-0.01	20	70%	0.37	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.05
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.15	0.00	5	54%	0.19	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	14	63%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	8	50%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	6	79%	0.11	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.01	18	53%	0.01	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.04
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	32.2	16.4	30.1	1.6	34.0	140.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +18.1%

GSW +6.9%

GSW +11.2%

GSW +12.9%

GSW +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	16.4	15.8	15.6	109.0	115.6	102.8
season	16.2	15.2		106.0	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.8	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.3	13.0	16.4	19.8	16.4
GSW	15.5	14.1	17.1	17.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	9	10	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-10	13	13.6	16.7	-3.14	17.4	15.6	1.80
DeAndre Jordan	61	59	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.18	-4	-3	-1	15.4	18.5	-3.09	15.4	16.5	-1.04
Kenyon Martin	25	29	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.08	-1	-6	5	15.1	16.9	-1.76	14.1	16.6	-2.45
Caron Butler	59	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-4	1	15.4	18.4	-3.04	15.2	16.8	-1.62
Reggie Evans	45	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-10	13	17.4	15.4	2.01	16.7	14.8	1.88
Chris Paul	73	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-4	1	16.6	15.4	1.23	16.4	12.9	3.52
Mo Williams	62	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	16.4	16.4	0.02	15.2	17.2	-1.98
Randy Foye	59	59	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.22	-14	7	-21	17.4	14.3	3.14	16.3	14.9	1.32
Blake Griffin	52	51	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.50	-12	5	-17	17.4	14.9	2.46	16.0	15.5	0.51

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	72	72	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.24	17	-10	27	15.5	17.2	-1.71	16.2	17.4	-1.20
Stephen Curry	64	64	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.24	16	-9	25	15.1	17.5	-2.34	16.0	17.4	-1.42
David Lee	84	84	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.21	16	-9	25	15.6	19.2	-3.61	16.2	18.8	-2.56
Ekpe Udoh	71	72	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.19	13	-6	19	16.1	14.8	1.21	16.6	15.4	1.27
Dorell Wright	51	52	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	-4	15	15.3	16.5	-1.17	15.3	17.8	-2.49
Brandon Rush	36	35	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.30	-6	13	-19	16.7	15.2	1.58	18.1	15.2	2.90
Klay Thompson	21	19	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	15	-23	16.6	15.6	1.01	16.8	16.3	0.58
Nate Robinson	26	26	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.01	-7	14	-21	17.5	15.1	2.34	17.5	15.9	1.53
Dominic McGuire	25	21	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.24	-17	24	-41	15.9	15.8	0.11	16.0	16.5	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.83,1	91.5%
PHI 91, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.36,0.55,0.96,1	90.9%
PHI 97, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.31,0.46,0.68,0.84,1	90.9%