NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	85		Excitement	7.0 [330]		MVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): +28.9%
Orlando Magic	94		Comeback	8.7 [228]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -35.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.01	11	54%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Tobias Harris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.04	-0.01	12	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	13	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Larry Sanders	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.25,-0.35,-0.35	-0.14	-0.22	-0.00	20	31%	-0.29	1	-0.06	5	80%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.00	0.23	-0.06	7	53%	0.27	2	0.02	5	100%	0.05
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	15	68%	0.17	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	10	61%	0.18	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	13	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.07	0.04	12	68%	0.12	6	-0.20	14	71%	0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	11	27%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	28.6	15.8	27.6	1.7	34.6	136.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +38.6%

ORL +18.3%

ORL +0.2%

MIL -2.6%

MIL -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ORL	NBA	MIL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.7	15.6	92.4	101.1	102.8
season	14.6	16.2		103.8	102.8
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.6	14.5	16.3	18.1	15.5
ORL	17.0	13.7	15.0	17.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	33	32	0.39	-0.89	1.28	0.15	8	-17	25	14.8	15.9	-1.12	14.2	16.4	-2.14
Beno Udrih	33	33	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.13	5	-14	19	15.5	15.5	0.06	15.0	16.0	-1.02
Mike Dunleavy	36	38	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.01	6	-15	21	15.2	15.6	-0.42	15.8	15.5	0.27
Larry Sanders	33	35	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.31	16	-25	41	14.5	16.0	-1.50	19.0	13.7	5.32
Jon Leuer	12	13	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	-6	3	19.4	14.9	4.53	16.4	15.5	0.85
Stephen Jackson	26	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	1	-11	14.5	15.9	-1.36	13.7	16.4	-2.65
Ersan Ilyasova	62	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.43	-3	-6	3	15.8	14.9	0.86	16.4	14.1	2.26
Carlos Delfino	74	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	1	-11	15.7	14.5	1.22	15.9	14.7	1.23
Shaun Livingston	56	55	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.25	-15	6	-21	15.6	15.2	0.42	15.5	15.8	-0.27
Jon Brockman	36	35	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	0.01	-25	16	-41	15.4	15.5	-0.06	12.9	17.3	-4.35
Brandon Jennings	59	60	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.36	-14	5	-19	15.5	15.5	-0.06	16.0	15.0	1.02

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	58	57	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.35	19	-10	29	15.2	16.4	-1.19	15.6	15.2	0.40
Dwight Howard	75	74	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.35	18	-9	27	16.1	13.6	2.54	15.6	15.2	0.39
Jameer Nelson	60	61	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-6	21	15.4	16.1	-0.63	15.6	15.3	0.23
Hedo Turkoglu	52	51	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	1	7	16.3	14.9	1.43	16.5	14.2	2.31
Quentin Richardson	51	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.16	11	-2	13	15.0	16.5	-1.45	14.9	16.1	-1.22
Ryan Anderson	69	68	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.24	-4	13	-17	15.7	15.5	0.27	15.7	14.9	0.76
Chris Duhon	33	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	15	-21	16.1	15.4	0.63	15.3	15.6	-0.23
Jason Richardson	39	40	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.07	-4	13	-17	16.0	15.4	0.59	15.0	15.8	-0.85
Earl Clark	28	28	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.03	-12	21	-33	14.6	16.1	-1.45	14.3	16.0	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 85, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.54,0.79,0.9,1,1	91.9%
POR 111, MEM 120	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.26,0.29,0.4,0.53,0.61,0.84,1,1	91.8%
MIA 94, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.14,0.25,0.38,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.28,0.62,0.72,0.94,1,1	90.6%