NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	111		Excitement	7.2 [438]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +52.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	120		Comeback	7.4 [122]		LVP	Bruno Caboclo (MEM): -12.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.30	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.21	0.10	0.01	13	84%	0.33	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Maurice Harkless	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.11	0.07	-0.02	13	71%	0.21	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jake Layman	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.02	6	67%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.03	-0.04	18	59%	0.18	5	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	4	92%	0.13	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.36,0.53,0.53	0.53	0.31	0.25	0.03	18	78%	0.57	1	-0.04	15	67%	-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.12	0.16	-0.02	7	94%	0.32	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.13	-0.01	5	86%	0.27	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.06	0.04	13	76%	0.24	2	-0.07	7	86%	-0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	11	37%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	14	47%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Bruno Caboclo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	27.7	14.6	28.6	1.7	37.2	136.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +40.5%

POR -1.1%

MEM +11.2%

MEM +0.2%

POR -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	14.1	13.7	14.3	106.7	116.5	109.3
season	14.9	15.4		112.6	105.4
opponent	14.2	13.9		107.4	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.8	14.4	13.9	14.3	14.1
MEM	14.4	13.3	13.8	13.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	21	21	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.18	-2	-7	5	15.1	13.8	1.25	14.0	13.6	0.40
Seth Curry	33	32	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.10	-1	-8	7	14.2	14.0	0.21	12.5	14.3	-1.83
Enes Kanter	35	33	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.30	-8	-1	-7	15.3	13.5	1.75	13.8	13.7	0.04
Jake Layman	37	38	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.24	-6	-3	-3	13.8	14.3	-0.53	12.8	14.3	-1.45
Rodney Hood	40	40	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.22	-7	-2	-5	15.3	13.4	1.92	13.3	14.0	-0.66
Jusuf Nurkic	67	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.47	-1	-8	7	13.8	14.7	-0.90	13.9	13.4	0.43
Al-Farouq Aminu	60	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	-8	7	13.8	14.5	-0.62	14.3	13.0	1.37
CJ McCollum	76	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	-4	-1	13.3	16.2	-2.85	14.1	12.6	1.49
Maurice Harkless	71	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	-5	1	13.8	14.7	-0.84	14.0	13.2	0.71
Damian Lillard	80	78	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.40	-10	1	-11	14.3	13.5	0.72	13.6	14.0	-0.36

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	75	76	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.26	15	-6	21	14.1	12.9	1.20	14.2	13.9	0.33
Avery Bradley	74	75	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	4	1	13.8	13.4	0.39	13.6	15.4	-1.78
CJ Miles	54	53	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.12	15	-6	21	12.5	15.1	-2.62	14.8	13.4	1.34
Joakim Noah	58	60	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.05	14	-5	19	12.8	14.9	-2.10	14.1	14.1	-0.03
Delon Wright	59	61	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	3	3	12.6	15.3	-2.74	13.1	15.5	-2.41
Justin Holiday	50	52	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	4	1	15.0	12.6	2.39	15.0	13.2	1.85
Jonas Valanciunas	45	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	14	-19	14.9	12.8	2.10	14.1	14.1	0.03
Ivan Rabb	51	49	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.12	4	5	-1	13.7	13.7	0.03	14.8	13.5	1.25
Chandler Parsons	17	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	13	-17	13.2	13.8	-0.66	13.5	14.2	-0.68
Bruno Caboclo	32	33	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.00	-10	19	-29	15.3	13.0	2.30	13.7	14.3	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.26,0.29,0.4,0.53,0.61,0.84,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 85, ORL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.85,0.99,1	91.8%
DAL 85, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.54,0.79,0.9,1,1	91.5%
WAS 101, BKN 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.27,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.38,0.63,0.85,0.58,1	90.6%