NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	101		Excitement	6.2 [456]		MVP	Willie Green (ATL): +17.1%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	7.3 [183]		LVP	Ronnie Price (PHX): -11.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.01	8	91%	0.26	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Josh Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.00	23	58%	0.24	4	-0.14	6	67%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	4	62%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	12	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.05	0.00	9	68%	0.09	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	10	29%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	11	75%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	79%	0.14	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	3	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.01	14	61%	0.13	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	62%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Josh Childress	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	47%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	13	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.4	26.3	16.0	25.6	1.6	37.7	133.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +25.4%

ATL +1.5%

PHX -1.5%

ATL +8.9%

ATL +15.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHX	NBA	ATL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	15.6	105.2	103.1	102.8
season	15.7	15.0		102.5	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.9		104.9	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.6	17.7	14.9	14.9	15.5
PHX	14.8	13.6	15.7	13.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	31	31	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.57	15	-13	28	14.4	16.0	-1.64	14.0	14.7	-0.69
Josh Smith	90	90	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.32	13	-11	24	15.3	18.5	-3.20	14.5	14.7	-0.18
Kirk Hinrich	51	50	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.44	9	-7	16	14.3	16.9	-2.61	14.3	14.7	-0.38
Willie Green	69	69	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.45	7	-5	12	15.5	15.5	0.03	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Erick Dampier	3	4	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	-3	8	14.0	15.5	-1.55	11.7	14.6	-2.87
Joe Johnson	70	71	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.47	-13	15	-28	16.3	13.3	3.06	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Marvin Williams	40	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.10	2	0	2	14.7	16.1	-1.37	14.9	14.2	0.64
Ivan Johnson	14	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	10	-18	14.0	15.8	-1.76	15.6	14.3	1.29
Jeff Teague	45	46	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.00	-7	9	-16	16.9	14.3	2.61	14.7	14.3	0.38
Zaza Pachulia	67	66	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.02	-13	15	-28	16.3	13.7	2.54	14.7	14.1	0.63

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	13	13	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-3	4	14.8	14.4	0.40	12.5	16.0	-3.43
Marcin Gortat	68	68	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-6	10	15.0	13.4	1.56	15.9	14.6	1.31
Ronnie Price	6	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	1	-4	11.8	14.7	-2.84	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Robin Lopez	16	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	5	-12	14.2	14.6	-0.38	15.9	15.4	0.52
Michael Redd	33	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	3	-8	14.2	14.7	-0.53	12.7	16.9	-4.13
Grant Hill	73	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.44	7	-9	16	14.5	14.3	0.20	16.0	13.9	2.06
Josh Childress	23	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.00	-9	7	-16	14.3	14.5	-0.20	13.9	16.0	-2.06
Channing Frye	64	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.52	7	-9	16	14.4	14.7	-0.37	16.6	13.2	3.38
Jared Dudley	65	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.50	5	-7	12	14.3	14.9	-0.55	16.4	13.5	2.91
Steve Nash	77	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-2	2	14.6	13.9	0.75	16.1	13.2	2.85
Markieff Morris	42	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	8	-18	14.6	14.4	0.21	13.7	16.9	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.71,0.68,0.36,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 99, MIN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.19,0.14,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	92.3%
IND 115, ORL 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.72,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.47,0.26,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	91.7%
TOR 95, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.69,0.81,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.47,0.41,0.2,0.28,0.14,0.07,0,0,0	91.6%