NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	95		Excitement	6.9 [452]		MVP	John Salmons (TOR): +13.6%
New York Knicks	83		Comeback	5.8 [306]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NYK): -13.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	10	55%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	13	62%	0.20	3	-0.08	14	64%	-0.05
Terrence Ross	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	69%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	11	62%	0.10	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Kyle Lowry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	10	54%	0.03	3	-0.09	8	62%	-0.02
Greivis Vasquez	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	7	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	11	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.04	-0.03	13	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	15	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.04	-0.03	7	41%	0.05	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	17	46%	0.03	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Toure Murry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	44%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.04
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.8	29.1	15.8	27.3	2.7	34.3	139.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +32.0%

TOR +4.8%

TOR +16.1%

NYK -3.7%

TOR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.1	105.6	92.2	105.2
season	15.9	16.0		107.2	106.4
opponent	15.4	15.1		107.6	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.2	17.2	17.0	17.0	15.9
NYK	14.0	17.9	15.0	18.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	49	47	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.19	18	-6	24	16.1	15.7	0.39	17.1	14.9	2.20
John Salmons	56	56	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.18	16	-4	20	15.8	16.1	-0.27	16.6	15.3	1.31
DeMar DeRozan	64	64	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-4	20	16.7	14.0	2.76	17.0	13.8	3.25
Jonas Valanciunas	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	2	8	16.6	14.0	2.60	16.0	16.3	-0.32
Kyle Lowry	75	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	6	0	15.7	17.3	-1.61	15.1	20.9	-5.75
Greivis Vasquez	29	29	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	4	4	15.1	16.3	-1.16	17.1	15.6	1.51
Tyler Hansbrough	25	26	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	8	-4	15.8	16.0	-0.11	14.8	16.6	-1.73
Patrick Patterson	38	39	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.02	-8	20	-28	14.6	16.9	-2.28	15.8	16.3	-0.54
Terrence Ross	46	46	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.03	-10	22	-32	15.9	16.0	-0.11	15.1	17.1	-2.03

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	33	32	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.03	2	-14	16	15.2	16.6	-1.46	14.8	16.5	-1.72
Kenyon Martin	21	21	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.01	3	-15	18	14.6	16.5	-1.90	15.7	16.0	-0.27
Metta World Peace	11	11	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-14	16	15.5	16.2	-0.61	13.2	16.3	-3.12
Toure Murry	19	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-8	4	16.5	16.0	0.50	13.6	16.6	-2.99
Tim Hardaway Jr.	69	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-7	2	16.1	16.1	-0.08	15.9	16.0	-0.05
Iman Shumpert	23	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	15.8	16.2	-0.40	16.0	15.9	0.05
Beno Udrih	69	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	-5	-2	16.1	16.0	0.04	16.6	13.8	2.78
Andrea Bargnani	71	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-5	-2	16.0	16.5	-0.50	15.4	17.7	-2.30
J.R. Smith	79	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	2	-16	16.2	15.5	0.61	16.3	13.2	3.12
Tyson Chandler	55	56	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.09	-22	10	-32	17.3	14.1	3.21	17.2	13.7	3.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.69,0.81,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.47,0.41,0.2,0.28,0.14,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, BOS 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.9%
CLE 101, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.06,0,0	92.8%
SAS 108, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.72,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	92.7%