NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	6.8 [357]		MVP	Jordan Farmar (NJN): +25.1%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	3.3 [512]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -17.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.08	0.14	-0.03	13	68%	0.34	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.00	9	67%	0.19	1	-0.05	12	83%	0.03
Shawne Williams	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	56%	0.03	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	3	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.08	0.04	19	50%	-0.02	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.08	0.00	9	77%	0.21	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.10	0.03	19	56%	0.20	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	11	63%	0.16	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	1	117%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	-0.00	10	43%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	45%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	8	37%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	15	32%	-0.11	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	30.2	16.6	29.2	2.6	30.6	137.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -10.4%

NYK +13.9%

NYK +21.6%

NYK +23.6%

NYK +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	16.2	15.0	15.6	98.9	108.8	102.8
season	16.2	14.9		101.3	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.2		100.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.3	17.0	15.7	17.1	16.2
NYK	16.0	12.9	15.0	16.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Williams	51	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-4	1	16.4	16.1	0.32	14.4	15.8	-1.34
Shelden Williams	42	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-6	5	16.8	15.8	0.94	14.5	15.5	-0.97
Sundiata Gaines	7	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	-1	-5	16.0	16.3	-0.27	12.9	15.2	-2.37
Johan Petro	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-4	1	14.4	16.4	-1.97	14.8	15.1	-0.23
Anthony Morrow	71	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-9	11	16.1	16.7	-0.57	15.2	14.4	0.76
Kris Humphries	63	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-8	9	16.1	16.5	-0.42	16.0	12.9	3.16
Shawne Williams	59	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-3	-1	15.3	17.9	-2.62	15.1	14.9	0.26
Keith Bogans	30	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-1	-5	17.4	15.7	1.65	15.0	15.1	-0.12
Deron Williams	85	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-4	1	16.2	17.2	-1.10	15.3	12.9	2.38
Jordan Farmar	50	47	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	5	-17	16.9	15.4	1.50	14.5	15.6	-1.10

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	68	70	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.27	13	-6	19	14.7	15.9	-1.16	16.3	16.2	0.10
Amar'e Stoudemire	48	49	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-4	15	15.3	14.8	0.48	16.4	16.1	0.30
Iman Shumpert	47	47	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	2	3	15.4	14.6	0.79	16.6	15.9	0.70
Jared Jeffries	59	58	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	1	5	15.1	14.9	0.21	16.6	15.7	0.81
Henry Walker	29	30	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	-1	9	14.8	15.2	-0.42	18.0	15.4	2.59
Tyson Chandler	67	69	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	8	-9	15.0	15.2	-0.28	15.9	17.3	-1.46
Toney Douglas	25	26	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	-2	11	13.9	15.5	-1.60	17.2	15.9	1.26
Carmelo Anthony	66	69	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	9	-11	15.1	14.9	0.23	15.6	18.1	-2.47
Renaldo Balkman	4	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	8	-9	13.5	15.1	-1.61	14.5	16.3	-1.83
Landry Fields	42	43	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.06	-13	20	-33	15.8	14.4	1.38	15.3	17.1	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.24,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 79, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	93.0%
MIL 97, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.95,1,1,1,1	92.7%
LAL 103, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.52,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	92.7%