NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	97		Excitement	6.7 [373]		MVP	Thabo Sefolosha (OKC): +23.5%
Boston Celtics	88		Comeback	1.3 [658]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): -27.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.24	0.17	0.12	0.05	9	90%	0.27	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.12	0.03	20	58%	0.21	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Kendrick Perkins	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	18	62%	0.15	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	8	29%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	9	70%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	15	67%	0.18	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	48%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	7	40%	-0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	14	43%	-0.01	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.26,-0.27,-0.28	-0.28	-0.21	-0.09	-0.02	19	30%	-0.17	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.8	34.2	18.5	24.5	3.3	34.3	143.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +48.0%

OKC +4.2%

BOS -30.5%

OKC +22.7%

OKC +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	BOS	NBA	OKC	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	16.2	15.6	104.3	95.7	102.8
season	14.7	15.5		107.9	99.4
opponent	16.2	15.8		97.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.6	15.0	13.5	17.5	14.9
BOS	19.1	16.3	15.3	14.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	69	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	0	9	14.1	17.1	-2.95	16.2	16.2	0.00
Kevin Durant	79	77	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	1	7	14.6	16.6	-1.98	16.8	13.3	3.48
James Harden	52	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	1	7	16.3	13.1	3.17	14.9	18.0	-3.07
Russell Westbrook	76	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	3	3	14.8	15.2	-0.35	16.5	15.3	1.17
Nick Collison	38	38	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	5	-1	15.9	14.2	1.65	14.7	17.3	-2.62
Kendrick Perkins	51	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.02	9	0	9	14.5	15.4	-0.85	18.0	13.8	4.24
Reggie Jackson	17	17	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	6	-3	15.2	14.8	0.35	15.3	16.5	-1.17
Serge Ibaka	44	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	6	-3	13.4	16.2	-2.86	18.3	14.4	3.90
Nazr Mohammed	16	16	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	8	-7	14.6	14.9	-0.32	13.4	16.9	-3.48
Daequan Cook	23	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	15	-21	17.3	14.1	3.26	13.7	17.0	-3.29

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Stiemsma	1	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-5	1	38.0	16.0	21.99	7.0	15.0	-7.98
Jermaine O'Neal	49	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-6	3	18.2	14.0	4.18	13.6	16.3	-2.71
Ray Allen	71	73	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-11	13	16.9	14.0	2.98	15.4	13.1	2.22
Marquis Daniels	25	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-9	9	13.4	17.3	-3.86	15.5	14.6	0.90
E'Twaun Moore	17	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-6	3	15.3	16.5	-1.17	15.2	14.8	0.35
Brandon Bass	42	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-4	-1	15.6	16.8	-1.12	15.6	14.3	1.28
Kevin Garnett	61	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-5	1	16.3	16.2	0.04	15.0	14.7	0.35
Rajon Rondo	76	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-3	-3	16.6	14.6	2.04	14.9	15.1	-0.21
Mickael Pietrus	43	43	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	1	-11	14.2	18.1	-3.88	15.5	14.4	1.11
Paul Pierce	75	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	3	-15	16.3	15.8	0.52	14.3	17.6	-3.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.31,0.19,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 103, LAL 95	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.4,0.31,0.15,0.03,0,0	93.2%
SAC 98, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.24,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.14,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.6%
IND 112, PHX 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.27,0.25,0.36,0.23,0.02,0	92.5%