NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	98		Excitement	6.3 [542]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +20.1%
Atlanta Hawks	86		Comeback	1.1 [529]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): -20.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.06	-0.02	23	62%	0.23	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Brad Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	16	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	7	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	12	52%	0.02	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	0.02	0.03	14	34%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	7	65%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Travis Hansen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	21	53%	0.08	4	-0.12	5	40%	-0.04
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	12	46%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	18	48%	-0.03	4	-0.17	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.0	26.3	15.7	24.0	2.5	31.3	124.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +15.6%

SAC +5.7%

SAC +4.0%

SAC +25.6%

ATL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	ATL	NBA	SAC	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.7	104.3	91.5	100.5
season	14.7	15.3		106.9	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.5	14.2	15.3	16.9	15.2
ATL	14.9	17.9	14.7	14.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	81	79	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	0	12	15.0	16.6	-1.63	15.0	17.6	-2.59
Mike Bibby	67	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	2	8	14.9	16.1	-1.21	14.8	16.9	-2.18
Brad Miller	86	88	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	3	6	15.6	11.2	4.33	15.6	13.2	2.41
Bobby Jackson	46	48	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	2	8	15.4	15.0	0.35	15.6	15.2	0.37
Doug Christie	56	56	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	2	8	14.7	15.9	-1.14	15.2	15.8	-0.66
Tony Massenburg	23	26	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	3	6	13.2	15.9	-2.64	18.3	14.3	4.04
Vlade Divac	67	65	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	11	-10	16.1	12.9	3.26	14.5	17.4	-2.88
Darius Songaila	5	4	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	9	-6	9.8	15.5	-5.72	14.7	15.5	-0.71
Gerald Wallace	9	10	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	12	-12	14.8	15.3	-0.48	17.5	15.2	2.32
Anthony Peeler	30	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	16	-20	16.6	14.6	2.04	16.6	14.9	1.63

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Glover	64	66	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-18	24	15.0	16.3	-1.28	15.7	14.1	1.63
Dan Dickau	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	10.0	15.5	-5.54	13.7	15.3	-1.60
Theo Ratliff	61	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.27	4	-16	20	15.6	15.0	0.61	16.3	13.3	2.99
Lee Nailon	13	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-7	2	16.6	15.2	1.38	14.7	15.3	-0.60
Travis Hansen	19	19	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-3	-6	18.5	14.7	3.82	11.3	16.2	-4.88
Nazr Mohammed	32	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	0	-12	15.9	15.2	0.68	13.2	16.2	-2.96
Jacque Vaughn	39	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-1	-10	15.5	15.4	0.11	15.1	15.3	-0.28
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	79	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	-3	-6	15.1	17.1	-1.95	15.5	13.8	1.68
Jason Terry	88	87	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-2	-8	15.1	20.3	-5.24	15.6	10.1	5.48
Stephen Jackson	73	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.11	-14	2	-16	15.3	16.0	-0.74	15.2	15.2	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.24,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.14,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.0%
ORL 87, DET 81	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.1,0	93.1%
ATL 106, WAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.02,0	93.1%