NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	84		Excitement	5.8 [506]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (ATL): +10.0%
Atlanta Hawks	93		Comeback	1.5 [919]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -16.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	15	63%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	57%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Linas Kleiza	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	1	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jose Calderon	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	9	72%	0.09	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Gary Forbes	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	8	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	17	29%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.03	20	57%	0.13	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	19	67%	0.19	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	5	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	13	43%	0.05	5	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	32.8	13.0	29.1	1.7	32.3	137.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +31.2%

ATL +5.3%

TOR -4.2%

ATL +16.0%

ATL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	16.8	15.6	15.6	94.4	104.5	102.8
season	16.5	15.7		98.9	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.2		99.5	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.3	16.9	16.0	18.0	16.8
ATL	15.7	15.1	16.0	15.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	16	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-2	-5	17.2	16.7	0.55	18.5	14.9	3.60
Amir Johnson	50	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-10	11	16.0	17.8	-1.77	13.9	17.9	-3.94
Gary Forbes	24	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-1	-7	19.0	16.0	3.02	15.7	15.5	0.20
DeMar DeRozan	64	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-5	1	16.0	18.7	-2.67	15.7	15.2	0.46
Jamaal Magloire	34	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-3	-3	17.9	16.1	1.85	17.3	14.6	2.68
Leandro Barbosa	54	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-8	7	16.7	16.9	-0.19	15.9	15.0	0.94
Rasual Butler	57	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	1	-11	17.2	16.0	1.20	15.0	16.5	-1.56
Jose Calderon	69	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-5	1	16.3	18.4	-2.07	15.3	16.6	-1.29
Ed Davis	77	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	-3	-3	16.8	16.8	-0.04	15.6	15.5	0.07

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	76	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	5	-1	15.6	15.6	-0.06	16.5	18.7	-2.26
Josh Smith	81	80	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	8	-7	15.3	17.7	-2.40	16.4	20.7	-4.30
Ivan Johnson	39	40	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	5	-1	15.7	15.5	0.19	17.3	16.4	0.96
Joe Johnson	68	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	2	5	15.3	16.5	-1.26	16.7	17.2	-0.58
Vladimir Radmanovic	22	22	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	0	9	14.0	16.1	-2.01	15.9	17.1	-1.24
Tracy McGrady	12	12	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	-1	11	20.0	14.9	5.13	20.7	16.2	4.47
Zaza Pachulia	29	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	1	7	17.8	14.5	3.31	18.5	16.0	2.50
Willie Green	41	40	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.22	-1	10	-11	15.5	15.6	-0.09	17.1	16.6	0.50
Jannero Pargo	8	8	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	1	7	17.7	15.3	2.40	20.6	16.4	4.21
Jason Collins	26	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	6	-3	14.8	15.9	-1.12	16.1	17.1	-0.96
Marvin Williams	43	43	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	17	-25	14.5	16.5	-2.03	15.6	17.9	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,1	94.4%
SEA 86, MIN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.76,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.81,0.7,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.95,1	94.2%
PHI 84, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%