NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	86		Excitement	6.1 [570]		MVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): +21.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	91		Comeback	1.9 [958]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -24.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	5	69%	0.13	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Predrag Drobnjak	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	13	62%	0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	-0.01	0.03	0.02	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome James	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	5	42%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	-0.25	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25	-0.09	-0.14	0.02	17	49%	-0.06	5	-0.18	5	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.03	0.01	22	70%	0.25	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	16	61%	0.17	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.00	6	64%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.06	-0.02	4	58%	0.10	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	12	25%	-0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	25.8	15.0	22.0	1.8	30.0	120.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +45.5%

SEA -7.7%

SEA -21.9%

MIN +31.0%

MIN +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIN	NBA	SEA	MIN	NBA
this game	18.2	15.5	15.5	100.0	107.1	101.6
season	16.5	14.9		101.7	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.6		102.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	19.7	18.5	18.5	16.1	18.2
MIN	13.0	14.3	16.6	18.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	23	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	1	-7	18.3	18.2	0.13	13.7	16.0	-2.32
Elden Campbell	21	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-6	7	20.7	17.4	3.25	17.3	14.9	2.43
Reggie Evans	47	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	0	-5	18.8	17.5	1.37	14.5	16.7	-2.17
Brent Barry	57	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.33	3	-8	11	17.8	19.1	-1.35	15.6	15.2	0.31
Predrag Drobnjak	42	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-5	5	16.9	19.4	-2.50	15.4	15.5	-0.08
Kevin Ollie	37	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	3	-11	19.3	17.4	1.96	15.5	15.5	-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	47	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.37	-1	-4	3	16.9	19.8	-3.00	16.3	14.4	1.88
Rashard Lewis	78	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-1	-3	18.7	13.9	4.78	15.5	14.8	0.76
Ray Allen	78	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	0	-5	18.0	20.1	-2.11	15.4	16.3	-0.90

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	70	69	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-3	11	15.2	16.5	-1.22	17.9	19.4	-1.43
Kevin Garnett	74	74	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-4	13	15.0	18.4	-3.34	18.0	19.5	-1.50
Kendall Gill	35	36	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.22	4	1	3	15.5	15.4	0.05	17.3	18.9	-1.55
Wally Szczerbiak	70	70	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	5	-5	15.3	16.1	-0.74	18.0	19.0	-0.97
Anthony Peeler	60	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	2	1	15.5	15.3	0.20	18.2	18.3	-0.10
Marc Jackson	24	26	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	1	3	15.8	15.3	0.52	19.3	17.7	1.57
Joe Smith	34	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	8	-11	17.4	14.1	3.30	17.8	18.5	-0.64
Rasho Nesterovic	43	42	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	2	1	14.5	16.4	-1.87	19.3	17.1	2.20
Mike Wilks	15	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	8	-11	16.5	15.2	1.22	19.4	17.9	1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.76,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.81,0.7,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,1	94.3%
TOR 84, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1	94.2%
SEA 100, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	93.7%