NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	100		Excitement	6.5 [496]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +15.6%
Phoenix Suns	109		Comeback	1.7 [917]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (PHX): -12.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.03	0.05	12	93%	0.22	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Brent Barry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	2	100%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Emanual Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	11	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.05	0.05	24	44%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Olumide Oyedeji	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	18	47%	-0.09	1	-0.03	9	56%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	12	71%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	3	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.02	18	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	22	58%	0.14	4	-0.11	8	75%	-0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	59%	0.07	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	14	39%	-0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.5	28.2	14.8	24.2	2.4	28.4	123.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +33.9%

PHX +3.0%

PHX +6.1%

PHX +5.6%

PHX +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.5	112.4	119.8	100.9
season	15.2	14.9		103.8	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		96.2	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.4	15.2	17.9	13.9	16.0
PHX	15.3	13.0	17.3	18.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olumide Oyedeji	12	13	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-12	15	12.7	16.6	-3.89	19.2	15.4	3.81
Emanual Davis	4	3	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-10	11	12.5	16.2	-3.70	25.3	15.6	9.69
Ruben Patterson	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-7	5	17.5	15.5	2.01	13.3	16.8	-3.55
Vin Baker	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-4	-1	17.3	15.9	1.41	11.5	16.6	-5.03
Brent Barry	54	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-10	11	14.5	18.5	-3.99	15.0	17.5	-2.42
Jelani McCoy	27	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-1	-7	17.1	15.5	1.60	17.4	15.3	2.06
Desmond Mason	56	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-7	5	15.2	17.5	-2.35	15.5	16.8	-1.32
Shammond Williams	49	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-1	-7	16.5	15.4	1.06	15.6	16.5	-0.90
Rashard Lewis	78	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-5	1	16.1	15.4	0.76	16.1	14.6	1.54
Gary Payton	82	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	1	-11	16.3	13.4	2.83	16.4	11.1	5.31
Patrick Ewing	50	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.22	-11	2	-13	17.3	14.4	2.84	16.9	14.8	2.04

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	73	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-5	19	16.0	15.7	0.37	16.6	14.0	2.62
Rodney Rogers	68	65	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.01	20	-11	31	15.2	18.2	-3.01	15.9	16.3	-0.35
Jason Kidd	89	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-1	11	16.2	6.5	9.68	16.2	7.5	8.73
Clifford Robinson	53	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	2	5	16.4	15.4	0.98	16.4	15.4	0.99
Tony Delk	63	62	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	8	-7	15.3	17.4	-2.06	15.5	17.1	-1.60
Mario Elie	38	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	6	-3	17.9	14.6	3.26	15.7	16.3	-0.56
Tom Gugliotta	38	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	10	-11	15.2	16.5	-1.39	15.9	16.1	-0.15
Chris Dudley	28	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	16	-23	17.4	15.3	2.01	16.0	16.0	0.00
Daniel Santiago	5	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	11	-13	9.0	16.4	-7.37	9.2	16.4	-7.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 86, MIN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.76,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.81,0.7,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.95,1	93.7%
CHA 82, OKC 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.94,1,1,1,1	93.4%
PHX 129, MIA 135	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.91,1,1	93.1%