NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	99		Excitement	6.0 [486]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (NOH): +16.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	108		Comeback	2.2 [826]		LVP	DaJuan Summers (NOH): -21.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.05	-0.01	14	68%	0.21	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Gustavo Ayon	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.05	0.02	5	69%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	16	44%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Trey Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	83%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Carl Landry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Emeka Okafor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Carldell Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	5	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	58%	0.03	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	5	8%	-0.17	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	5	86%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	19	55%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.05	-0.04	12	55%	0.12	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.04
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.07	0.02	7	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	56%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	13	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Selby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.6	29.4	15.6	30.8	1.8	33.2	140.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +5.0%

MEM +13.9%

NOH -0.5%

MEM +25.7%

MEM +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MEM	NBA	NOH	MEM	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.6	106.5	114.9	102.8
season	16.3	15.6		99.2	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.7		100.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.9	19.2	15.5	14.3	15.9
MEM	13.9	13.5	15.8	16.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Johnson	17	17	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.08	12	-21	33	13.5	16.5	-2.93	15.5	14.8	0.72
Gustavo Ayon	39	40	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.26	10	-19	29	14.6	16.9	-2.25	15.5	14.4	1.07
Carldell Johnson	5	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-11	13	16.8	15.9	0.92	16.0	14.8	1.17
Jason Smith	52	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.23	2	-11	13	15.4	16.6	-1.27	15.1	14.6	0.48
Greivis Vasquez	53	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-12	15	15.2	16.8	-1.62	15.9	13.5	2.41
Al-Farouq Aminu	47	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-2	-5	16.4	15.5	0.88	15.6	14.2	1.38
Emeka Okafor	42	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-2	-5	16.5	15.5	1.05	14.2	15.4	-1.25
DaJuan Summers	46	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-7	5	15.5	16.4	-0.88	14.2	15.6	-1.38
Chris Kaman	32	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	2	-13	17.1	15.3	1.73	13.8	15.4	-1.58
Carl Landry	21	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	3	-15	16.9	15.7	1.20	16.1	14.5	1.62
Marco Belinelli	40	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.03	-12	3	-15	16.8	15.2	1.62	13.5	15.9	-2.41
Jarrett Jack	71	73	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.10	-23	14	-37	16.4	14.3	2.16	14.7	15.6	-0.89

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	80	79	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.07	23	-14	37	14.9	14.9	-0.05	16.3	13.7	2.60
Quincy Pondexter	39	36	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.15	18	-9	27	13.8	15.6	-1.82	16.2	15.8	0.39
Marc Gasol	80	81	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-4	17	14.9	14.9	0.03	16.4	12.7	3.65
Tony Allen	52	49	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-5	19	15.0	14.8	0.22	15.6	16.3	-0.66
Rudy Gay	77	77	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	7	-5	14.9	14.8	0.07	16.1	15.3	0.74
Dante Cunningham	36	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	12	-15	15.2	14.7	0.46	15.4	16.3	-0.89
Marreese Speights	34	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	9	-9	15.9	14.3	1.57	16.0	15.9	0.07
Josh Davis	22	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	9	-9	14.7	14.9	-0.26	15.7	16.0	-0.27
O.J. Mayo	36	38	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	17	-25	14.7	15.0	-0.22	15.4	16.3	-0.85
Josh Selby	14	14	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.16	-14	23	-37	14.9	14.9	0.05	13.7	16.3	-2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.47,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.87,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.85,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, IND 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.72,0.84,0.84,1	93.2%
BOS 91, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.73,0.9,0.96,0.96,1,1	92.7%
NJN 77, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.98,1	92.4%