NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	88		Excitement	7.0 [428]		MVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): +13.7%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	2.9 [523]		LVP	Drew Gooden (MIL): -28.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0.14	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	-0.02	0.12	-0.03	18	50%	0.20	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	6	72%	0.13	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Andrew Bogut	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	11	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	59%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Redd	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.08,0.01	-0.05	0.07	0.00	10	36%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	7	64%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.29	-0.06	-0.23	-0.00	11	31%	-0.29	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.01	8	75%	0.19	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	54%	0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	10	44%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.10	-0.01	13	54%	0.13	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	13	53%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	58%	0.05	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.6	26.2	15.6	28.3	2.5	31.2	128.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +32.5%

IND +16.2%

MIL -9.5%

MIL -1.0%

IND +11.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	17.1	15.8	15.5	100.0	102.3	105.7
season	16.2	14.7		100.1	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.5	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.3	18.7	16.4	19.5	17.1
IND	16.4	14.0	14.2	19.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	38	38	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.27	12	-13	25	17.8	16.5	1.32	17.2	14.8	2.34
Andrew Bogut	59	61	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-4	7	17.2	16.8	0.36	15.7	16.3	-0.61
Michael Redd	11	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	2	-5	17.0	17.1	-0.08	15.1	15.9	-0.84
Earl Boykins	14	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-2	3	16.4	17.2	-0.76	13.7	16.3	-2.54
Larry Sanders	2	1	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	1	-3	8.5	17.3	-8.77	20.0	15.8	4.21
Carlos Delfino	36	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	6	-13	16.8	17.2	-0.44	14.8	16.6	-1.88
Brandon Jennings	67	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-4	7	17.2	16.6	0.59	16.6	13.7	2.83
Luc Mbah a Moute	62	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	0	-1	17.1	16.9	0.21	16.6	14.1	2.56
John Salmons	58	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	2	-5	16.1	18.9	-2.78	14.9	17.6	-2.71
Drew Gooden	53	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.41	-2	1	-3	17.2	16.9	0.30	15.1	17.0	-1.94
Keyon Dooling	40	40	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	5	-11	18.0	16.3	1.66	16.7	15.1	1.69

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	61	60	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.41	8	-7	15	15.6	16.3	-0.67	17.4	16.4	1.04
Tyler Hansbrough	57	57	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.49	1	0	1	15.0	17.5	-2.48	16.8	17.5	-0.69
Roy Hibbert	59	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.44	1	0	1	14.9	17.8	-2.87	16.7	17.9	-1.24
Darren Collison	66	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.51	-4	5	-9	15.5	17.0	-1.53	17.1	17.0	0.03
Brandon Rush	40	43	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.38	-4	5	-9	17.4	14.5	2.94	18.3	15.8	2.50
Paul George	47	45	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	-4	9	14.5	17.4	-2.94	15.8	18.3	-2.50
A.J. Price	21	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	-4	9	17.0	15.5	1.53	17.0	17.1	-0.03
Jeff Foster	28	27	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	1	-1	17.8	14.9	2.87	17.9	16.7	1.24
Josh McRoberts	30	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	1	-1	17.5	15.0	2.48	17.5	16.8	0.69
Mike Dunleavy	26	28	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	8	-15	16.3	15.6	0.67	16.4	17.4	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.72,0.84,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 99, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.47,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.87,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.85,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.2%
TOR 100, BKN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.81,0.72,0.86,0.83,1	92.5%
BOS 91, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.73,0.9,0.96,0.96,1,1	92.3%