inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 91 Excitement8.6 [137] MVPIvan Johnson (ATL): +40.4%
Atlanta Hawks 93 Comeback24.6 [104] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -39.4%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ricky Rubio0.310,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.31-0.010.31-0.011556%0.394-0.082100%0.01
Wayne Ellington0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.090.20-0.01972%0.3000.0000%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.01-0.00462%0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Randolph0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.02-0.03542%0.021-0.00250%-0.01
Derrick Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Darko Milicic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nikola Pekovic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.030.00478%0.113-0.151100%0.01
Wesley Johnson-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.100.00-0.03825%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Love-0.110,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.110.06-0.18-0.012652%-0.012-0.106100%0.07
Luke Ridnour-0.190,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19-0.06-0.130.00841%-0.082-0.101100%0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ivan Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.40.400.050.350.00462%0.4000.008100%0.11
Joe Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.44,0.340.340.090.25-0.002053%0.3400.00786%0.02
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.06,0.17,0.170.170.070.100.00683%0.271-0.1000%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.01-0.04657%0.072-0.042100%0.01
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.013100%0.073-0.0600%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.03-0.001556%0.126-0.13683%-0.00
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Donald Sloan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00631%-0.0300.001100%0.01
Jason Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.050.00333%-0.081-0.0100%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.39-0.39-0.18-0.23-0.021328%-0.215-0.1830%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.327.515.526.42.528.5126.4
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +0.3%
ATL +26.9%
ATL +33.7%
MIN -13.4%
ATL +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINATLNBAMINATLNBA
this game16.114.215.695.897.9102.8
season15.315.7102.6102.5
opponent15.915.199.5104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN14.816.416.916.716.1
ATL12.913.612.618.414.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wesley Johnson48480.43-0.931.360.0214-163015.716.6-0.9313.115.2-2.11
Darko Milicic30310.28-0.781.06-0.0411-132415.416.5-1.1413.314.6-1.30
Nikola Pekovic33330.04-0.540.57-0.177-91616.216.10.1014.813.81.04
Derrick Williams15160.02-0.520.54-0.011-3417.815.81.9614.214.20.02
Ricky Rubio7070-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.374-61015.817.2-1.4814.613.01.59
Luke Ridnour7676-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.466-81415.917.1-1.2013.815.6-1.83
Kevin Love8079-0.520.02-0.54-0.43-31-415.817.8-1.9614.214.2-0.02
Anthony Randolph2928-0.610.11-0.730.00-2119-4017.615.52.1213.914.3-0.39
Wayne Ellington5958-0.780.28-1.07-0.43-1210-2216.815.11.6714.613.41.21
Anthony Tolliver3536-0.800.30-1.11-0.31-1715-3216.416.00.4015.113.61.52

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ivan Johnson50500.87-0.371.240.3119-173614.214.10.1516.316.00.36
Willie Green33350.68-0.180.870.516-41015.613.42.2516.416.00.35
Vladimir Radmanovic44420.450.050.41-0.0116-143014.613.80.8316.815.71.10
Jeff Teague82840.360.140.210.47-46-1014.611.23.4015.818.5-2.61
Jason Collins27260.240.26-0.03-0.0610-81815.813.52.3016.016.2-0.26
Josh Smith71710.160.34-0.190.57-1416-3013.915.0-1.1715.817.1-1.31
Donald Sloan430.100.40-0.30-0.024-265.714.5-8.7912.016.3-4.28
Joe Johnson77780.060.44-0.370.30-810-1813.417.4-4.0415.718.2-2.47
Jannero Pargo980.040.46-0.42-0.0220213.714.2-0.5520.915.75.16
Marvin Williams3938-0.210.71-0.920.08-1012-2213.414.7-1.2416.615.90.68
Zaza Pachulia3940-0.250.75-1.010.07-1113-2414.014.3-0.3316.316.10.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.67,0.74,0.61,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.24,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 103, SAC 1070.5,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.42,189.7%
ORL 100, TOR 1040.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.19,0.34,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.54,0.4,0.25,0.45,0.32,0.84,189.7%
UTA 91, MIN 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.4,0.31,0.38,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.57,0.73,189.0%