NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	7.5 [349]		MVP	Fred Hoiberg (MIN): +21.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Comeback	18.4 [128]		LVP	Raul Lopez (UTA): -25.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Curtis Borchardt	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	9	56%	0.12	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	8	58%	0.04	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04	0.03	-0.08	-0.01	9	64%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	12	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	10	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26	-0.04	-0.17	0.05	11	54%	-0.06	3	-0.20	4	75%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.12	0.00	4	100%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.14	-0.00	5	75%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	7	50%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	55%	0.03	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	12	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	7	46%	-0.14	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.02,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	0.00	-0.17	0.02	17	57%	-0.08	2	-0.10	10	90%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.7	29.5	14.8	28.0	1.6	32.2	132.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +11.7%

MIN +2.2%

MIN +12.9%

MIN +23.1%

MIN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	16.4	14.8	15.5	98.9	100.0	104.0
season	16.7	15.8		102.3	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.1		104.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.5	15.3	20.2	14.8	16.4
MIN	15.8	16.0	12.0	15.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	39	40	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.01	6	-8	14	17.4	15.6	1.83	15.4	14.3	1.07
Gordan Giricek	27	29	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-3	4	18.3	15.6	2.76	13.3	15.4	-2.16
Jarron Collins	23	25	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-2	2	17.0	16.2	0.77	13.3	15.3	-2.03
Kris Humphries	4	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	1	-4	14.7	16.5	-1.70	8.5	15.0	-6.54
Howard Eisley	32	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	4	-10	15.4	16.9	-1.54	15.5	14.4	1.17
Curtis Borchardt	27	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	1	-4	18.3	15.6	2.71	15.3	14.6	0.70
Raul Lopez	60	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-6	10	16.9	15.4	1.54	14.4	15.5	-1.17
Andrei Kirilenko	67	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.60	8	-10	18	15.7	18.1	-2.33	15.5	12.9	2.61
Mehmet Okur	65	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	0	-2	15.9	17.6	-1.77	14.4	15.6	-1.18
Matt Harpring	60	60	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	8	-18	16.2	16.7	-0.52	14.8	14.8	0.01
Raja Bell	56	54	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.50	-5	3	-8	15.2	18.2	-2.98	15.5	13.7	1.80

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	42	41	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.46	14	-12	26	15.3	14.3	1.04	16.0	16.6	-0.60
Wally Szczerbiak	69	68	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.36	15	-13	28	14.1	16.7	-2.68	16.6	15.8	0.74
Eddie Griffin	53	54	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-11	24	15.3	14.1	1.16	16.8	15.8	0.96
Kevin Garnett	76	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	-1	4	14.1	17.5	-3.38	16.7	14.9	1.82
Sam Cassell	37	39	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.38	4	-2	6	15.6	14.2	1.43	14.8	17.5	-2.66
Troy Hudson	37	36	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	-5	12	13.1	15.9	-2.84	18.1	15.3	2.75
John Thomas	16	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	4	-6	15.0	14.7	0.29	16.8	16.3	0.47
Michael Olowokandi	15	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.04	-2	4	-6	17.8	14.2	3.62	14.9	16.6	-1.71
Anthony Carter	19	17	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.09	-9	11	-20	16.4	14.3	2.08	16.4	16.4	-0.03
Ervin Johnson	18	17	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.07	-9	11	-20	16.9	14.2	2.70	16.4	16.4	-0.03
Trenton Hassell	39	38	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.09	-12	14	-26	14.0	15.3	-1.31	15.7	16.9	-1.23
Latrell Sprewell	44	43	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.01	-12	14	-26	14.4	15.1	-0.63	16.3	16.4	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.4,0.31,0.38,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.42,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.92,1	91.3%
POR 121, SAC 126	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.47,0.69,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.37,0.33,0.84,1	90.5%
PHX 91, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.67,0.91,1	90.3%