NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	103		Excitement	7.5 [267]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +35.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	106		Comeback	3.6 [232]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -42.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.36	0.15	0.21	-0.00	12	76%	0.36	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	12	74%	0.26	3	-0.15	3	67%	0.02
DeJuan Blair	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	69%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Richard Jefferson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03	0.06	-0.04	-0.01	9	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tiago Splitter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Matt Bonner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.42	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.42	-0.08	-0.32	0.02	18	55%	-0.07	7	-0.35	4	50%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.23	0.23	0.24	0.04	0.04	17	83%	0.46	3	-0.23	7	100%	0.06
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.00	13	58%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.01	13	67%	0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.07	0.00	8	44%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	4	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	15	47%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.6	25.4	14.7	22.0	2.4	27.8	118.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +22.6%

MIL +0.3%

SAS -3.1%

MIL +27.6%

MIL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIL	NBA	SAS	MIL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.6	15.6	113.2	111.6	102.8
season	15.3	14.6		109.1	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.2		103.4	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.9	14.4	16.7	15.7	15.3
MIL	14.0	14.4	20.1	15.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Ford	11	10	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.03	5	-8	13	15.6	15.3	0.34	14.4	15.8	-1.36
James Anderson	17	18	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-3	3	16.5	15.1	1.46	15.9	15.6	0.33
Danny Green	11	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-2	1	11.6	15.8	-4.21	13.7	15.9	-2.23
Tiago Splitter	29	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-1	-1	13.7	16.1	-2.47	14.6	16.1	-1.44
Gary Neal	41	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-6	9	14.7	15.9	-1.24	14.3	16.8	-2.45
DeJuan Blair	46	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-5	7	14.9	15.8	-0.91	15.8	15.5	0.28
Tim Duncan	66	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.46	7	-10	17	16.3	12.8	3.50	16.3	14.0	2.26
Kawhi Leonard	62	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	2	-7	16.4	13.0	3.44	16.8	13.6	3.15
Matt Bonner	41	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	10	-23	15.5	15.2	0.27	15.1	16.0	-0.88
Tony Parker	67	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	0	-3	15.7	14.5	1.20	15.9	14.7	1.28
Richard Jefferson	64	68	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.41	-8	5	-13	14.7	17.0	-2.31	15.6	15.7	-0.12

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	80	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	4	-5	16.1	12.8	3.35	15.9	11.8	4.17
Jon Leuer	60	56	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	-4	11	15.3	16.1	-0.74	15.0	15.9	-0.84
Tobias Harris	30	29	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	-4	11	16.0	15.4	0.55	14.4	15.8	-1.41
Shaun Livingston	30	28	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	-5	13	14.6	16.1	-1.54	15.0	15.5	-0.44
Andrew Bogut	67	64	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.45	-6	9	-15	16.3	13.9	2.45	15.5	15.0	0.48
Brandon Jennings	70	68	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.30	-2	5	-7	15.8	15.0	0.79	15.6	14.5	1.10
Drew Gooden	28	27	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	-6	15	13.9	16.3	-2.45	15.0	15.5	-0.48
Carlos Delfino	75	70	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.25	-3	6	-9	15.1	17.4	-2.32	14.9	16.7	-1.79
Ersan Ilyasova	35	35	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.22	-4	7	-11	16.1	15.3	0.74	15.9	15.0	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 104, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.92,1	91.7%
NYK 82, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.83,0.8,0.89,0.55,0.74,1	91.6%
LAC 100, CLE 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.73,0.69,0.78,0.68,0.42,1	91.0%