NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	104		Excitement	8.4 [222]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): +23.6%
Washington Wizards	108		Comeback	4.7 [457]		LVP	Fred Jones (IND): -25.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.24	0.12	0.11	0.00	20	69%	0.34	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Reggie Miller	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	10	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
James Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	17	65%	0.13	4	-0.13	12	83%	0.06
Eddie Gill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	6	14%	-0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25	-0.08	-0.17	-0.00	9	30%	-0.13	1	-0.13	2	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.01	0.13	-0.04	21	50%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.06
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	28	62%	0.28	4	-0.13	13	77%	0.02
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	79%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	-0.00	9	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	30.8	15.6	28.6	2.5	36.5	141.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +31.7%

IND -8.8%

WAS +4.1%

WAS +22.5%

WAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	16.8	14.0	15.5	111.8	114.9	104.0
season	16.8	14.7		101.9	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	17.7	19.0	15.5	16.8
WAS	14.2	11.8	14.5	15.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-3	2	18.0	16.7	1.31	10.6	14.2	-3.64
Anthony Johnson	55	57	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-8	12	18.0	15.1	2.91	14.1	13.9	0.20
Scot Pollard	19	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	4	-12	16.3	16.9	-0.58	12.9	14.3	-1.44
Jeff Foster	62	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.39	9	-13	22	17.4	15.5	1.98	14.6	12.8	1.87
Stephen Jackson	71	71	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.27	5	-9	14	16.9	16.2	0.72	14.8	11.7	3.11
Eddie Gill	26	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	2	-8	15.9	17.1	-1.23	13.1	14.4	-1.31
Austin Croshere	31	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	-13	9	-22	15.5	17.4	-1.98	12.8	14.6	-1.87
Jermaine O'Neal	74	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.50	4	-8	12	16.9	16.3	0.58	14.3	12.9	1.44
Reggie Miller	60	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.54	2	-6	8	15.9	18.3	-2.32	14.4	13.2	1.19
Fred Jones	61	60	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.27	-16	12	-28	16.6	17.2	-0.58	13.3	15.3	-1.91

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	36	36	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-9	22	14.6	13.7	0.83	18.1	15.9	2.14
Jarvis Hayes	68	68	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.47	2	2	0	15.0	11.7	3.30	16.5	17.5	-1.02
Antawn Jamison	79	77	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.41	2	2	0	14.2	13.5	0.69	16.9	15.9	1.01
Steve Blake	25	26	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	-4	12	15.4	13.6	1.85	17.8	16.4	1.38
Gilbert Arenas	87	86	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	2	0	14.3	11.0	3.29	16.7	17.4	-0.71
Juan Dixon	46	45	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	-9	22	11.7	16.2	-4.51	16.1	17.4	-1.28
Etan Thomas	29	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	1	2	13.0	14.5	-1.56	15.8	17.3	-1.49
Jared Jeffries	69	67	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	12	-20	13.4	15.9	-2.50	16.6	17.1	-0.47
Brendan Haywood	31	30	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.13	-15	19	-34	15.3	13.4	1.86	17.0	16.7	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, MIL 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.55,0.58,1	91.7%
MIL 108, NOP 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.58,0.38,0.25,0.36,0.37,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.93,1	91.4%
WAS 86, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.77,0.69,0.9,0.94,1,1	91.1%