NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	9.9 [72]		MVP	Ricky Davis (CLE): +45.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Comeback	4.6 [228]		LVP	Andre Miller (LAC): -38.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	5	82%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.03	0.04	-0.03	-0.03	23	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	13	85%	0.06
Michael Olowokandi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	0.02	16	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	10	42%	-0.06	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.07
Quentin Richardson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18	0.05	-0.22	0.01	14	62%	-0.08	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.38	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25,-0.19,-0.27,-0.11,-0.38	-0.17	-0.23	-0.01	11	31%	-0.22	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.46	0.46	0.05	0.42	0.01	21	58%	0.49	1	-0.03	13	92%	0.16
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	73%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	8	47%	-0.01	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	11	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.22	-0.22	0.01	-0.23	0.00	18	53%	-0.13	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.7	24.6	15.0	29.0	1.8	42.0	140.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +45.6%

CLE +22.7%

LAC -26.8%

CLE +6.0%

CLE +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CLE	NBA	LAC	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	13.7	15.5	101.0	104.0	101.6
season	15.4	15.1		100.2	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.4		104.3	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.3	16.6	15.2	17.3	15.2
CLE	14.3	14.7	12.0	14.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	42	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-1	-2	14.6	15.7	-1.11	14.6	13.1	1.55
Marko Jaric	23	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-6	8	16.0	15.0	0.94	14.5	13.5	1.07
Corey Maggette	91	92	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.43	7	-11	18	14.7	20.7	-6.00	13.5	16.0	-2.48
Eric Piatkowski	29	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	6	-16	17.6	14.3	3.28	15.4	13.0	2.45
Elton Brand	80	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	14.8	16.9	-2.12	13.4	15.1	-1.72
Andre Miller	76	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	2	-8	15.0	16.0	-0.94	13.5	14.5	-1.07
Quentin Richardson	78	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.35	-5	1	-6	14.9	16.3	-1.40	13.3	15.2	-1.93
Michael Olowokandi	76	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.53	-2	-2	0	16.0	12.7	3.36	13.6	14.2	-0.60

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dajuan Wagner	59	58	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-7	18	13.8	13.6	0.15	16.0	14.1	1.94
Jumaine Jones	59	58	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-7	18	13.8	13.6	0.15	16.0	14.1	1.94
Chris Mihm	58	57	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-5	14	14.5	12.6	1.86	15.8	14.5	1.27
Ricky Davis	89	88	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-1	6	13.3	17.1	-3.79	15.1	16.4	-1.27
Darius Miles	61	61	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.57	-6	10	-16	13.6	14.0	-0.42	14.6	16.3	-1.76
Michael Stewart	9	8	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	3	-2	12.7	13.8	-1.16	17.7	15.0	2.74
DeSagana Diop	27	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	1	2	15.7	13.0	2.67	15.4	15.2	0.19
Milt Palacio	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	5	-6	17.1	13.3	3.79	16.4	15.1	1.27
Carlos Boozer	38	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	5	-6	12.8	14.3	-1.46	15.1	15.3	-0.29
Smush Parker	41	41	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.01	-7	11	-18	13.6	13.8	-0.15	14.1	16.0	-1.94
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	48	48	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.10	-5	9	-14	12.7	14.6	-1.91	14.1	16.3	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.73,0.69,0.78,0.68,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, BKN 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.3,0.46,0.54,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.27,1	92.2%
BOS 81, PHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.77,0.55,0.42,1	91.8%
DET 72, CLE 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.81,0.63,0.78,0.58,1	91.5%