inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 72 Excitement8.9 [151] MVPMaurice Evans (DET): +12.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers 74 Comeback4.2 [513] LVPLeBron James (CLE): -41.3%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Maurice Evans0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.120.000.11-0.01150%0.1200.00475%-0.03
Tony Delk-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Lindsey Hunter-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.180,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18-0.07-0.11-0.01217%-0.112-0.06250%-0.01
Tayshaun Prince-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.02,-0.18-0.07-0.15-0.031547%0.074-0.25475%-0.01
Richard Hamilton-0.200,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.07,-0.01,0.13,-0.20.06-0.230.022553%-0.152-0.057100%0.10
Chauncey Billups-0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.27-0.02-0.25-0.001046%-0.071-0.20475%0.01
Rasheed Wallace-0.330,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33-0.16-0.17-0.001325%-0.163-0.17250%-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.050.04771%0.121-0.03367%0.01
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.070.00950%0.122-0.0700%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02-0.01375%0.061-0.012100%0.02
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00762%0.081-0.042100%0.01
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.020.00933%-0.052-0.0500%0.00
Ronald Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.07-0.00750%-0.033-0.0800%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.15,-0.3,-0.41-0.41-0.23-0.130.052339%-0.138-0.281050%-0.16
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.73.633.019.828.13.547.4163.1
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +89.3%
DET -36.7%
DET -15.2%
CLE +27.6%
DET -15.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCLENBADETCLENBA
this game17.316.615.683.788.1104.4
season16.916.2108.3105.6
opponent15.515.8103.9101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.917.919.215.717.3
CLE15.116.417.817.116.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lindsey Hunter1111-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-3415.917.5-1.6117.516.41.03
Maurice Evans2018-0.05-0.450.40-0.174-61012.618.7-6.0818.616.02.61
Ben Wallace8077-0.15-0.350.21-0.295-71216.527.8-11.3116.022.7-6.71
Tony Delk1615-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.08-64-1018.917.01.9215.416.8-1.41
Antonio McDyess2224-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.14-53-820.216.33.8517.916.01.84
Richard Hamilton7170-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.444-61016.720.1-3.4216.616.40.16
Rasheed Wallace5958-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.19-64-1018.514.83.7016.915.81.09
Chauncey Billups7573-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.41-31-417.515.91.6116.417.5-1.03
Tayshaun Prince7674-0.570.07-0.64-0.45-42-617.913.14.7716.219.5-3.34

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anderson Varejao53520.97-0.471.450.9220216.117.4-1.3616.518.5-1.96
Damon Jones46470.69-0.190.890.526-41016.816.30.4916.818.0-1.21
Eric Snow63670.60-0.100.700.455-3817.015.31.7016.819.3-2.50
LeBron James84860.500.000.500.4420216.60.016.5617.30.017.31
Donyell Marshall44460.010.49-0.48-0.083-1417.515.51.9719.215.23.95
Ronald Murray6263-0.040.54-0.580.14-68-1415.519.5-3.9217.616.70.90
Zydrunas Ilgauskas4243-0.080.58-0.66-0.05-13-416.316.8-0.4516.318.4-2.12
Drew Gooden2626-0.160.66-0.82-0.13-13-417.416.21.1919.216.52.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.81,0.63,0.78,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 90, DAL 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.26,0.44,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.55,0.69,0.58,192.5%
UTA 86, SAS 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.47,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.63,0.9,0.84,192.2%
ORL 98, TOR 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.84,192.1%