NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	90		Excitement	7.6 [313]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +24.5%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	3.0 [481]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (CHA): -33.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.03	0.01	17	69%	0.20	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.08
Ryan Hollins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.07	0.01	2	87%	0.15	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.05	-0.00	6	64%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Sean May	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	16	42%	-0.02	1	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.33	-0.12	-0.19	0.02	16	26%	-0.16	1	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.11	0.00	16	65%	0.27	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.06
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.16,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.01	21	52%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	12	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.7	27.8	16.0	25.0	2.4	34.7	131.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA -13.6%

DAL +23.6%

DAL +3.4%

DAL +37.4%

CHA -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DAL	NBA	CHA	DAL	NBA
this game	17.3	16.0	15.5	104.7	109.2	106.4
season	16.5	15.6		103.0	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		107.1	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.4	15.5	17.7	17.8	17.3
DAL	15.9	14.5	15.9	18.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	9	8	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.02	5	-10	15	11.7	17.9	-6.24	15.7	16.1	-0.33
Nazr Mohammed	26	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-7	9	19.0	16.5	2.44	15.3	16.3	-1.00
Matt Carroll	52	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.19	3	-8	11	16.5	18.5	-2.01	16.9	14.7	2.23
Shannon Brown	24	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	5	-15	17.7	17.1	0.69	13.8	16.9	-3.08
Sean May	25	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	3	-11	20.7	15.9	4.83	14.8	16.5	-1.69
Adam Morrison	33	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	1	-7	18.8	16.3	2.58	14.7	16.9	-2.23
Emeka Okafor	74	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-5	5	16.8	20.2	-3.48	16.5	13.2	3.34
Ryan Hollins	38	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	4	-13	16.1	18.2	-2.06	16.4	15.7	0.75
Raymond Felton	72	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-4	3	17.4	16.6	0.73	16.3	14.7	1.59
D.J. Augustin	77	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-4	3	16.8	20.8	-3.93	16.5	12.6	3.89

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	64	61	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.32	10	-5	15	16.5	14.9	1.60	16.8	18.3	-1.50
Dirk Nowitzki	74	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	-1	7	16.1	15.6	0.51	17.1	18.2	-1.14
Jason Terry	58	58	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	-2	9	15.7	16.8	-1.07	17.6	16.5	1.17
Antoine Wright	31	32	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	-2	9	14.7	16.8	-2.03	18.9	16.3	2.58
Brandon Bass	42	43	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.15	3	2	1	15.6	16.5	-0.87	17.6	16.9	0.70
Jason Kidd	65	65	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	7	-9	16.3	15.2	1.10	16.6	19.2	-2.56
Erick Dampier	52	51	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	6	-7	16.5	15.3	1.22	17.3	17.2	0.05
DeSagana Diop	5	6	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	3	-1	14.2	16.2	-1.96	18.8	17.1	1.70
Devean George	44	43	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	12	-19	16.3	15.7	0.60	16.8	17.7	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.26,0.44,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.55,0.69,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 72, CLE 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.81,0.63,0.78,0.58,1	92.5%
MIA 74, NYK 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.69,1	91.7%
TOR 100, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.42,1	91.5%