NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	82		Excitement	8.0 [225]		MVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): +53.7%
Miami Heat	86		Comeback	4.6 [396]		LVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): -29.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Oakley	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	8	70%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Chris Mills	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	23	47%	-0.08	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.05
John Starks	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.16,-0.18	-0.17	-0.02	-0.00	8	18%	-0.05	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.26	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.12	-0.14	0.01	14	29%	-0.17	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.03,-0.17,-0.3	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	13	21%	-0.13	2	-0.16	2	0%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.54,0.54	0.54	0.08	0.45	-0.00	20	64%	0.61	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	9	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	12	58%	-0.00	3	-0.14	9	78%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.27	-0.27	-0.12	-0.14	0.01	10	27%	-0.20	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	2.5	29.4	16.7	27.3	2.5	35.4	143.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +78.2%

NYK -2.3%

NYK -45.5%

MIA +19.8%

NYK -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	18.3	15.9	15.6	96.5	103.6	102.5
season	15.7	15.8		100.4	104.7
opponent	16.2	16.3		99.8	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	20.3	17.5	17.6	17.9	18.3
MIA	15.4	15.9	18.4	14.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buck Williams	26	28	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-5	6	20.0	17.6	2.39	16.2	15.8	0.45
Charles Oakley	67	63	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.20	9	-13	22	18.3	18.4	-0.06	16.4	14.4	1.93
Chris Childs	5	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	1	-6	14.4	18.6	-4.19	9.0	16.3	-7.27
Allan Houston	70	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-9	14	18.6	16.9	1.71	15.6	17.4	-1.81
Chris Mills	46	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	3	-10	19.0	17.6	1.39	16.4	15.3	1.06
Charlie Ward	72	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-4	4	19.1	14.4	4.67	16.7	11.9	4.80
Chris Dudley	40	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-2	0	18.4	18.3	0.11	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Larry Johnson	55	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	3	-10	17.2	20.4	-3.13	16.2	15.5	0.70
John Starks	44	47	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.41	-14	10	-24	16.8	20.0	-3.11	14.3	18.1	-3.78

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	47	47	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.32	13	-9	22	14.9	17.3	-2.41	17.9	18.9	-0.95
Jamal Mashburn	66	67	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.49	4	0	4	16.2	14.8	1.37	18.2	18.8	-0.55
Tim Hardaway	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	0	4	16.5	13.5	2.99	17.9	20.0	-2.07
Voshon Lenard	79	81	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.42	1	3	-2	15.6	23.0	-7.44	18.4	17.2	1.15
Alonzo Mourning	64	67	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.31	-3	7	-10	15.6	17.1	-1.47	19.1	15.6	3.53
Ike Austin	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	-4	12	15.7	16.1	-0.35	17.2	19.2	-2.04
Eric Murdock	15	17	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	4	-4	13.5	16.5	-2.99	20.0	17.9	2.07
P.J. Brown	41	42	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	11	-18	18.0	13.8	4.22	18.7	18.0	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.83,0.8,0.89,0.55,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, MIL 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.55,0.58,1	91.6%
IND 104, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.92,1	90.7%
MIN 78, POR 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.78,0.92,0.89,0.68,0.97,1	90.6%