NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	70		Excitement	3.9 [817]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +13.5%
Boston Celtics	89		Comeback	1.6 [911]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (NJN): -9.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
MarShon Brooks	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	16	47%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Shelden Williams	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Horner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.03	-0.04	12	32%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Johan Petro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	64%	-0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	52%	0.00	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.01	14	69%	0.16	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	10	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.02	7	87%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaJuan Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	42%	0.00	3	-0.06	3	0%	-0.06
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	7	12%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	28.2	14.8	27.2	1.6	27.3	125.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.2%

BOS +4.4%

BOS +13.9%

NJN -5.5%

BOS +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	18.8	16.5	15.6	85.4	109.9	102.8
season	16.2	15.5		101.3	99.4
opponent	16.2	15.2		97.1	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	19.6	19.1	21.6	15.2	18.8
BOS	18.2	16.9	15.2	16.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damion James	31	29	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.06	7	-26	33	19.1	18.6	0.46	17.5	16.0	1.46
Dennis Horner	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	14.2	19.3	-5.12	13.8	16.9	-3.11
Jordan Williams	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	14.9	19.6	-4.73	16.1	16.6	-0.57
Shelden Williams	44	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.15	-8	-11	3	20.3	17.1	3.22	16.2	17.0	-0.81
Sundiata Gaines	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-12	5	20.1	17.5	2.53	16.1	17.0	-0.90
Johan Petro	20	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.16	-13	-6	-7	18.2	19.0	-0.77	17.1	16.4	0.74
Mehmet Okur	52	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-10	1	19.9	16.8	3.12	16.5	16.6	-0.17
DeShawn Stevenson	23	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.01	-13	-6	-7	21.0	17.9	3.08	16.3	16.6	-0.30
Jordan Farmar	46	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-7	-5	17.3	20.6	-3.26	16.5	16.5	-0.00
MarShon Brooks	57	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.08	-16	-3	-13	19.5	17.2	2.27	17.1	15.3	1.83
Anthony Morrow	40	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	-3	-13	17.7	19.8	-2.16	16.3	16.8	-0.53
Shawne Williams	34	35	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-8	-3	17.1	20.0	-2.94	17.0	16.2	0.75

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	50	53	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	1	17	17.1	15.6	1.45	20.4	15.9	4.52
Brandon Bass	44	42	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-1	21	16.3	16.9	-0.59	18.5	19.1	-0.67
Paul Pierce	47	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	3	13	16.6	16.5	0.02	20.4	16.4	3.94
Chris Wilcox	16	15	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	7	5	17.6	16.3	1.27	18.9	18.8	0.11
Rajon Rondo	54	54	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	5	9	16.2	17.3	-1.07	19.8	16.9	2.92
Kevin Garnett	43	45	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.20	15	4	11	16.1	17.1	-0.96	20.4	16.8	3.59
Avery Bradley	42	41	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	11	-3	16.6	16.5	0.11	16.0	21.5	-5.46
Marquis Daniels	25	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	16	-13	17.5	16.1	1.41	17.2	19.4	-2.16
Greg Stiemsma	21	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	20	-21	16.7	16.5	0.17	17.0	19.4	-2.50
Sasha Pavlovic	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	14.6	17.0	-2.38	16.9	19.2	-2.23
E'Twaun Moore	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	15.8	16.7	-0.84	15.0	19.4	-4.37
JaJuan Johnson	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	15.8	16.7	-0.84	14.0	19.4	-5.44
Jermaine O'Neal	27	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	24	-29	17.3	16.2	1.13	19.7	18.2	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 74, MIL 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	95.0%
DAL 94, UTA 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
GSW 95, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%