NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	115		Excitement	2.4 [1019]		MVP	Andre Miller (DEN): +14.4%
Dallas Mavericks	93		Comeback	1.3 [424]		LVP	Delonte West (DAL): -4.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.01	-0.03	8	90%	0.14	3	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	-0.00	0.04	15	79%	0.16	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.00	-0.04	13	64%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	8	36%	0.01	2	0.00	6	50%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	61%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	5	36%	-0.00	2	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.05	10	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nene	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	14	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.12	-0.01	-0.14	10	24%	0.01	2	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	100%	-0.00	3	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	6	69%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	8	37%	-0.00	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.0	27.3	16.4	28.3	1.8	34.2	133.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +32.4%

DEN +3.0%

DEN +7.2%

DEN +7.6%

DAL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	DAL	NBA	DEN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	13.9	15.6	113.9	90.3	102.8
season	14.5	15.5		107.5	101.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		100.9	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.2	13.5	14.6	15.0	14.3
DAL	14.6	15.9	13.6	11.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	56	55	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	8	6	14.9	13.6	1.31	14.1	13.7	0.39
Nene	51	52	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.35	26	-4	30	12.9	15.8	-2.88	15.0	12.7	2.31
Rudy Fernandez	62	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	7	8	14.5	14.2	0.27	13.6	14.4	-0.87
Ty Lawson	67	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.30	23	-1	24	13.9	15.2	-1.30	14.4	12.9	1.47
Danilo Gallinari	56	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.39	26	-4	30	13.2	15.8	-2.66	14.7	12.9	1.77
Al Harrington	45	47	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	12	-2	14.8	14.0	0.82	13.4	14.3	-0.98
Arron Afflalo	58	60	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	17	-12	14.7	13.9	0.85	14.2	13.5	0.69
Chris Andersen	42	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.32	-8	30	-38	16.2	13.0	3.20	12.9	14.6	-1.77
Timofey Mozgov	30	30	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	20	-18	14.2	14.4	-0.26	14.7	13.6	1.14
Corey Brewer	30	30	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	29	-36	15.0	14.1	0.98	11.1	15.0	-3.94
Kosta Koufos	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	18	-14	13.6	14.4	-0.78	12.0	14.1	-2.05

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Williams	25	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-37	52	11.4	14.7	-3.29	15.9	13.9	2.00
Brian Cardinal	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.14	-5	-17	12	15.5	13.7	1.85	14.1	14.4	-0.29
Dominique Jones	10	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.17	-6	-16	10	11.2	14.2	-2.98	14.1	14.4	-0.26
Ian Mahinmi	10	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.13	-6	-16	10	12.2	14.1	-1.88	12.9	14.5	-1.61
Rodrigue Beaubois	33	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.45	13	-35	48	12.2	14.7	-2.56	16.0	13.6	2.43
Delonte West	55	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-27	32	13.0	15.0	-1.99	14.8	13.8	1.00
Vince Carter	45	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-19	16	12.1	15.3	-3.16	14.4	14.3	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	56	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.37	-21	-1	-20	14.4	13.3	1.06	14.1	14.7	-0.60
Shawn Marion	49	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-8	-6	15.1	12.8	2.27	14.4	14.3	0.15
Jason Kidd	50	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.45	-27	5	-32	15.0	12.8	2.15	13.8	14.9	-1.12
Jason Terry	54	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.31	-23	1	-24	15.5	12.1	3.34	13.8	14.9	-1.07
Lamar Odom	70	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-8	-6	13.7	14.3	-0.56	14.8	13.4	1.41
Brendan Haywood	47	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.29	-24	2	-26	15.2	12.8	2.47	13.1	15.4	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 98, SEA 76	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
MIA 88, MIL 67	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
BOS 95, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	96.5%