NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	2.4 [1262]		MVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): +8.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	76		Comeback	1.5 [524]		LVP	Chris Wilcox (SEA): -6.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	0.00	0.08	11	81%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	75%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Corey Maggette	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.15	0.00	-0.18	15	29%	0.03	4	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	45%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Paul Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.11	0.00	0.12	15	73%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	125%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Sene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	8	50%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	11	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	8	12%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	8	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	11	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.00	4	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	29.8	16.5	28.5	1.6	29.2	131.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.9%

LAC +4.1%

LAC +5.6%

LAC +9.4%

LAC +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SEA	NBA	LAC	SEA	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	15.4	100.0	79.2	104.5
season	15.7	15.4		103.3	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		108.3	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	10.7	14.3	19.3	14.3
SEA	17.3	16.6	14.0	13.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	80	79	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.47	32	-10	42	14.2	14.9	-0.68	15.4	15.2	0.16
Shaun Livingston	51	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	12	-2	12.4	16.4	-3.97	16.5	14.2	2.27
Tim Thomas	46	44	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.12	17	5	12	12.0	16.4	-4.32	16.8	14.2	2.60
Corey Maggette	58	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	22	-22	14.0	14.9	-0.91	15.0	15.9	-0.96
Chris Kaman	49	50	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.37	23	-1	24	14.0	14.7	-0.63	16.0	14.7	1.24
Elton Brand	54	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.43	25	-3	28	13.6	15.2	-1.62	15.8	14.8	1.08
Sam Cassell	38	38	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.37	20	2	18	15.0	13.9	1.08	16.0	15.0	1.01
Quinton Ross	42	42	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.34	16	6	10	14.1	14.5	-0.38	14.9	15.7	-0.86
Daniel Ewing	27	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	34	-46	17.5	13.1	4.34	13.5	16.1	-2.56
Paul Davis	27	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	34	-46	17.5	13.1	4.34	13.5	16.1	-2.56
James Singleton	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	31	-40	20.1	13.0	7.01	12.2	16.1	-3.94

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Brown	19	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-35	48	14.1	15.7	-1.57	16.6	13.8	2.79
Mike Wilks	31	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.44	15	-37	52	13.4	16.3	-2.97	16.7	13.2	3.52
Mouhamed Sene	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-29	36	13.8	15.9	-2.17	15.0	14.1	0.89
Nick Collison	38	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.40	-18	-4	-14	16.2	14.8	1.44	14.7	14.1	0.55
Luke Ridnour	54	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-21	20	14.6	16.3	-1.72	16.1	12.1	4.04
Damien Wilkins	49	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-21	20	15.4	15.3	0.05	14.4	14.3	0.03
Mickael Gelabale	51	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.50	-27	5	-32	15.5	15.2	0.39	13.4	15.4	-2.01
Johan Petro	44	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-16	10	15.0	15.7	-0.67	15.4	13.4	2.05
Ray Allen	61	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.43	-28	6	-34	16.0	14.2	1.79	13.0	16.7	-3.68
Chris Wilcox	50	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.33	-27	5	-32	16.5	14.1	2.37	12.4	16.4	-4.05
Earl Watson	58	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.61	-37	15	-52	16.1	14.2	1.87	13.3	15.9	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, MIA 73	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
MIL 112, SAC 87	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
MIN 105, MEM 80	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%